Postnl Nv Stock Volatility
| PSTNY Stock | USD 1.27 0.18 16.51% |
PostNL NV appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. PostNL NV maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0864, which implies the firm had a 0.0864 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty technical indicators for PostNL NV, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate PostNL NV's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.031, coefficient of variation of 3089.95, and Variance of 17.88 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to PostNL NV's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
PostNL NV Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of PostNL daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use PostNL's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of PostNL NV volatility.
PostNL |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as PostNL NV can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of PostNL NV at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase PostNL stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of PostNL NV's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
PostNL NV Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
PostNL NV's beta coefficient measures the volatility of PostNL pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents PostNL pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, PostNL NV's beta of 1.23 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk PostNL NV pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. PostNL NV exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 4.07 and kurtosis of 31.59. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PostNL NV's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PostNL NV's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze PostNL NV Demand TrendCheck current 90 days PostNL NV correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)PostNL Beta |
PostNL standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.72 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by PostNL NV's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of PostNL NV's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in postnl pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in PostNL NV.
PostNL NV Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which PostNL NV pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with PostNL NV's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of PostNL NV's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of PostNL NV's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures PostNL NV's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict PostNL NV's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for PostNL NV's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on PostNL NV's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. The Median Price line plots median indexes of PostNL NV price series.
PostNL NV Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.2305 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PostNL NV will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PostNL NV or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PostNL NV's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PostNL pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
PostNL NV has an alpha of 0.0343, implying that it can generate a 0.0343 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a PostNL NV Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.PostNL NV Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of PostNL NV is 1157.21. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 22.25 and standard deviation of 4.72. The mean deviation of PostNL NV is currently at 1.68. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.7
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
PostNL NV Pink Sheet Return Volatility
PostNL NV historical daily return volatility represents how much of PostNL NV pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 4.7174% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7122% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About PostNL NV Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of PostNL NV or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of PostNL NV may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to PostNL's beta indicator, it measures the risk of PostNL NV and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of PostNL NV fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.PostNL N.V. provides postal and logistics services to businesses and consumers in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company was formerly known as TNT N.V. and changed its name to PostNL N.V. in May 2011. Postnl NV is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.
PostNL NV's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on PostNL Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much PostNL NV's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize PostNL NV's volatility to invest better
Higher PostNL NV's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of PostNL NV stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. PostNL NV stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of PostNL NV investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in PostNL NV's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of PostNL NV's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
PostNL NV Investment Opportunity
PostNL NV has a volatility of 4.72 and is 6.65 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 42 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than PostNL NV. You can use PostNL NV to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. The trend is possibly hyped up. Check odds of PostNL NV to be traded at $1.5875 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between PostNL NV and DJI is 0.2 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PostNL NV and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
PostNL NV Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of PostNL NV's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PostNL NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of PostNL NV pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.031 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1131 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3089.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Variance | 17.88 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0122 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
PostNL NV Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against PostNL NV as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. PostNL NV's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, PostNL NV's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to PostNL NV.
Additional Tools for PostNL Pink Sheet Analysis
When running PostNL NV's price analysis, check to measure PostNL NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PostNL NV is operating at the current time. Most of PostNL NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PostNL NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PostNL NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PostNL NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.