Peyto Exploration (Germany) Volatility

PXK Stock  EUR 16.08  0.23  1.41%   
Peyto Exploration appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Peyto Exploration maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.15, which implies the firm had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Peyto Exploration, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Peyto Exploration's Coefficient Of Variation of 525.43, risk adjusted performance of 0.1598, and Semi Deviation of 1.74 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1485

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.98
  actual daily
17
83% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.29
  actual daily
5
95% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.15
  actual daily
11
89% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Peyto Exploration is performing at about 11% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Peyto Exploration by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Peyto Exploration's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Peyto Exploration Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Peyto daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Peyto's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Peyto Exploration volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Peyto Exploration can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Peyto Exploration at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Peyto Exploration's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Peyto Exploration's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.0554
Alpha
0.4
Risk
1.98
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Expected Return
0.29

Moving together with Peyto Stock

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  0.6710N Enter Air SAPairCorr
  0.82PAE PACCARPairCorr
  0.72SKNB Skanska ABPairCorr
  0.68PYCP Minera Alamos SplitPairCorr
  0.74L3X Centrais Elétricas SplitPairCorr
  0.68BSI BE Semiconductor Ind Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.66LOR LOral SAPairCorr

Moving against Peyto Stock

  0.78013A JD Inc AdrPairCorr
  0.7214D tokentus investmentPairCorr
  0.72013C JD IncPairCorr
  0.61AMZ Amazon IncPairCorr
  0.6AMZ Amazon IncPairCorr
  0.44BY6 BYD LimitedPairCorr
  0.43AMZ1 AMAZONCOM INCCDRPairCorr
  0.35BY6A BYD LTD ADR2PairCorr

Peyto Exploration Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Peyto Exploration's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Peyto stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Peyto stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Peyto Exploration's beta of 0.0554 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Peyto Exploration stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Peyto Exploration Development currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.16 and Jensen Alpha of 0.4. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Peyto Exploration's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Peyto Exploration's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Peyto Exploration correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.40   β0.06
3 Months Beta |Analyze Peyto Exploration Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Peyto Exploration correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Peyto Exploration Volatility and Downside Risk

Peyto standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Peyto Exploration Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Peyto Exploration stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Peyto Exploration's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Peyto Exploration's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Peyto Exploration's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Peyto Exploration's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Peyto Exploration's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Peyto Exploration's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Peyto Exploration's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Peyto Exploration Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Peyto Exploration Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Peyto Exploration has a beta of 0.0554 indicating as returns on the market go up, Peyto Exploration average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Peyto Exploration Development will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Peyto Exploration or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Peyto Exploration's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Peyto stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Peyto Exploration Development has an alpha of 0.398, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Peyto Exploration's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how peyto stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Peyto Exploration Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Peyto Exploration Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Peyto Exploration is 673.37. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.92 and standard deviation of 1.98. The mean deviation of Peyto Exploration Development is currently at 1.65. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Peyto Exploration Stock Return Volatility

Peyto Exploration historical daily return volatility represents how much of Peyto Exploration stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 1.9794% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7551% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

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8SFALK
Z1L07M
10NALK
  

High negative correlations

ALKBWGA
Z1LBWGA
07MBWGA
10NBWGA
8SFBWGA
10N90AA

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Peyto Stock performing well and Peyto Exploration Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Peyto Exploration's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

About Peyto Exploration Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Peyto Exploration or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Peyto Exploration may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Peyto's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Peyto Exploration and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Peyto Exploration fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Peyto Exploration Development Corp., an energy company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Deep Basin, Alberta. Peyto Exploration Development Corp. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. PEYTO EXPL operates under Oil Gas EP classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 53 people.
Peyto Exploration's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Peyto Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Peyto Exploration's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Peyto Exploration's volatility to invest better

Higher Peyto Exploration's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Peyto Exploration stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Peyto Exploration stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Peyto Exploration investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Peyto Exploration's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Peyto Exploration's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Peyto Exploration Investment Opportunity

Peyto Exploration Development has a volatility of 1.98 and is 2.61 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Peyto Exploration Development is lower than 17 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Peyto Exploration Development to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Peyto Exploration to be traded at €15.6 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Peyto Exploration Development and DJI is 0.68 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Peyto Exploration Development and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Peyto Exploration Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Peyto Exploration's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Peyto Exploration's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Peyto Exploration stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Peyto Exploration Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Peyto Exploration as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Peyto Exploration's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Peyto Exploration's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Peyto Exploration Development.

Complementary Tools for Peyto Stock analysis

When running Peyto Exploration's price analysis, check to measure Peyto Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peyto Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of Peyto Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peyto Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peyto Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peyto Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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