Caltagirone SpA (Germany) Volatility
| QCG Stock | 5.92 0.06 1.02% |
Caltagirone SpA appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Caltagirone SpA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0737, which signifies that the company had a 0.0737% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Caltagirone SpA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Caltagirone SpA's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0639, mean deviation of 1.35, and Downside Deviation of 2.6 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Caltagirone |
Caltagirone SpA Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Caltagirone daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Caltagirone's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Caltagirone SpA volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Caltagirone SpA can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Caltagirone SpA at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Caltagirone stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Caltagirone SpA's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against Caltagirone Stock
Caltagirone SpA Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Caltagirone SpA's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Caltagirone stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Caltagirone stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Caltagirone SpA's beta of -0.65 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Caltagirone SpA stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Caltagirone SpA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Caltagirone SpA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Caltagirone SpA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Caltagirone SpA Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Caltagirone SpA correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Caltagirone Beta |
Caltagirone standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.65 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Caltagirone SpA's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Caltagirone SpA's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in caltagirone stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Caltagirone SpA.
Caltagirone SpA Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Caltagirone SpA stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Caltagirone SpA's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Caltagirone SpA's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Caltagirone SpA's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Caltagirone SpA's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Caltagirone SpA's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Caltagirone SpA's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Caltagirone SpA's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Caltagirone SpA Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Caltagirone SpA Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Caltagirone SpA has a beta of -0.6477 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Caltagirone SpA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Caltagirone SpA is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Caltagirone SpA or Caltagirone sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Caltagirone SpA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Caltagirone stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Caltagirone SpA has an alpha of 0.2498, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Caltagirone SpA Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Caltagirone SpA Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Caltagirone SpA is 1357.28. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 7.01 and standard deviation of 2.65. The mean deviation of Caltagirone SpA is currently at 1.34. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Caltagirone SpA Stock Return Volatility
Caltagirone SpA historical daily return volatility represents how much of Caltagirone SpA stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.6484% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7608% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Caltagirone SpA Investment Opportunity
Caltagirone SpA has a volatility of 2.65 and is 3.49 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 23 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Caltagirone SpA. You can use Caltagirone SpA to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Caltagirone SpA to be traded at 6.51 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Caltagirone SpA and DJI is -0.19 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Caltagirone SpA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Caltagirone SpA Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Caltagirone SpA's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Caltagirone SpA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Caltagirone SpA stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0639 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.28) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1343.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Caltagirone SpA Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Caltagirone SpA as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Caltagirone SpA's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Caltagirone SpA's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Caltagirone SpA.
Additional Tools for Caltagirone Stock Analysis
When running Caltagirone SpA's price analysis, check to measure Caltagirone SpA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caltagirone SpA is operating at the current time. Most of Caltagirone SpA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caltagirone SpA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caltagirone SpA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caltagirone SpA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.