Erayak Power Solution Stock Volatility

RAYA Stock   1.19  0.01  0.83%   
Erayak Power appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Erayak Power Solution secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0833, which denotes the company had a 0.0833% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By reviewing Erayak Power's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.78% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Erayak Power's Downside Deviation of 7.91, mean deviation of 6.7, and Semi Deviation of 6.95 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Erayak Power's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Erayak Power Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Erayak daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Erayak's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Erayak Power volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Erayak Power can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Erayak Power at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Erayak Power's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving against Erayak Stock

  0.56FCEL FuelCell Energy TrendingPairCorr
  0.54ELPW Elong Power HoldingPairCorr
  0.54XPON Expion360PairCorr
  0.52EPOW Sunrise New EnergyPairCorr
  0.52FLUX Flux Power HoldingsPairCorr
  0.51IPWR Ideal PowerPairCorr
  0.35ENS EnersysPairCorr

Erayak Power Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Erayak Power's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Erayak stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Erayak stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Erayak Power's beta of -3.41 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Erayak Power stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Erayak Power Solution is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Erayak Power Solution is a potential penny stock. Although Erayak Power may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Erayak Power Solution. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Erayak instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Erayak Power Solution Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Erayak Power correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Erayak Beta

    
  -3.41  
Erayak standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  9.31  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Erayak Power's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Erayak Power's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in erayak stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Erayak Power.

Erayak Power Solution Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Erayak Power stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Erayak Power's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Erayak Power's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Erayak Power's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Erayak Power's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Erayak Power's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Erayak Power's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Erayak Power's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Erayak Power Solution Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Erayak Power Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Erayak Power Solution has a beta of -3.4145 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Erayak Power Solution are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Erayak Power is expected to outperform its benchmark.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Erayak Power or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Erayak Power's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Erayak stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Erayak Power Solution has an alpha of 1.1649, implying that it can generate a 1.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Erayak Power's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how erayak stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Erayak Power Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Erayak Power Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Erayak Power is 1200.79. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 86.75 and standard deviation of 9.31. The mean deviation of Erayak Power Solution is currently at 6.79. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.41
σ
Overall volatility
9.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Erayak Power Stock Return Volatility

Erayak Power historical daily return volatility represents how much of Erayak Power stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 9.3141% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Erayak Power Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Erayak Power or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Erayak Power may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Erayak's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Erayak Power and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Erayak Power fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses722.5 K440.1 K
Market Cap11.9 M10.6 M
Erayak Power's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Erayak Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Erayak Power's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Erayak Power's volatility to invest better

Higher Erayak Power's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Erayak Power Solution stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Erayak Power Solution stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Erayak Power Solution investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Erayak Power's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Erayak Power's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Erayak Power Investment Opportunity

Erayak Power Solution has a volatility of 9.31 and is 12.58 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 82 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Erayak Power. You can use Erayak Power Solution to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Erayak Power to be traded at 1.1662 in 90 days.

Very good diversification

The correlation between Erayak Power Solution and DJI is -0.28 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Erayak Power Solution and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Erayak Power Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Erayak Power's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Erayak Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Erayak Power stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Erayak Power Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Erayak Power as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Erayak Power's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Erayak Power's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Erayak Power Solution.

Complementary Tools for Erayak Stock analysis

When running Erayak Power's price analysis, check to measure Erayak Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erayak Power is operating at the current time. Most of Erayak Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erayak Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erayak Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erayak Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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