Repligen (Germany) Volatility

RGN Stock  EUR 141.40  1.55  1.11%   
Repligen appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Repligen maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0958, which implies the firm had a 0.0958 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Repligen, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Repligen's Coefficient Of Variation of 953.98, semi deviation of 1.95, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0847 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0958

High ReturnsBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small ReturnsRGN
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative Returns

Estimated Market Risk

 2.29
  actual daily
20
80% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.22
  actual daily
4
96% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.1
  actual daily
7
93% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Repligen is performing at about 7% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Repligen by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Repligen's volatility include:
60 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
60 Days Economic Sensitivity
Repligen Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Repligen daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Repligen's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Repligen volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Repligen can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Repligen at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Repligen's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Repligen's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
(0.66)
Alpha
0.29
Risk
2.29
Sharpe Ratio
0.0958
Expected Return
0.22

Moving together with Repligen Stock

  0.62VX1 Vertex PharmaceuticalsPairCorr
  0.621KG Kainos Group plcPairCorr
  0.61J9T CODERE ONLINE LUXPairCorr
  0.62BOX Becton DickinsonPairCorr

Moving against Repligen Stock

  0.4822UA BioNTech SEPairCorr
  0.46SVM Sovereign MetalsPairCorr
  0.441FW1 WUXI BIOLOGICS UNSPADR2PairCorr
  0.32CSJA CSL LTD SPONADRPairCorr
  0.32CSJ CSL LimitedPairCorr

Repligen Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Repligen's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Repligen stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Repligen stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Repligen's beta of -0.66 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Repligen stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Repligen currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Repligen's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Repligen's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Repligen correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.29   β-0.67
3 Months Beta |Analyze Repligen Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Repligen correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Repligen Volatility and Downside Risk

Repligen standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Repligen Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Repligen stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Repligen's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Repligen's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Repligen's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Repligen's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Repligen's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Repligen's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Repligen's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Repligen Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Repligen Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Repligen has a beta of -0.665 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Repligen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Repligen is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Repligen or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Repligen's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Repligen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Repligen has an alpha of 0.2898, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Repligen's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how repligen stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Repligen Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Repligen Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Repligen is 1043.4. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 5.24 and standard deviation of 2.29. The mean deviation of Repligen is currently at 1.75. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.67
σ
Overall volatility
2.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Repligen Stock Return Volatility

Repligen historical daily return volatility represents how much of Repligen stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 2.2883% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7072% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

CPU2AG8
UP2HNM
CPU222UA
22UAAG8
ESYUP2
INW22UA
  

High negative correlations

UP222UA
CPU2UP2
ESY22UA
1D8CPU2
22UAHNM
CPU2ESY

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Repligen Stock performing well and Repligen Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Repligen's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

About Repligen Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Repligen or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Repligen may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Repligen's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Repligen and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Repligen fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Repligen Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells products used to enhance the interconnected phases of the biological drug manufacturing process in North America, Europe, APAC, and internationally. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts. REPLIGEN CORP operates under Biotechnology classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 548 people.
Repligen's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Repligen Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Repligen's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Repligen's volatility to invest better

Higher Repligen's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Repligen stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Repligen stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Repligen investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Repligen's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Repligen's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Repligen Investment Opportunity

Repligen has a volatility of 2.29 and is 3.23 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Repligen is lower than 20 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Repligen to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Repligen to be traded at €155.54 in 90 days.

Very good diversification

The correlation between Repligen and DJI is -0.21 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Repligen and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Repligen Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Repligen's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Repligen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Repligen stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Repligen Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Repligen as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Repligen's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Repligen's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Repligen.

Complementary Tools for Repligen Stock analysis

When running Repligen's price analysis, check to measure Repligen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Repligen is operating at the current time. Most of Repligen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Repligen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Repligen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Repligen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world