Conservative Balanced Allocation Fund Volatility
| SCAAX Fund | USD 11.43 0.02 0.18% |
At this stage we consider Conservative Mutual Fund to be very steady. Conservative Balanced secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the fund had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Conservative Balanced Allocation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Conservative Balanced's Mean Deviation of 0.4002, coefficient of variation of 661.17, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1126 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.1331
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| Cash | SCAAX | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
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Based on monthly moving average Conservative Balanced is performing at about 10% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Conservative Balanced by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Conservative Balanced's volatility include:90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Conservative Balanced Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Conservative daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Conservative's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Conservative Balanced volatility.
Conservative |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Conservative Balanced. They may decide to buy additional shares of Conservative Balanced at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Conservative Mutual Fund
| 1.0 | SABAX | Salient Alternative Beta | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | SABIX | Aggressive Balanced | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | SABCX | Salient Alternative Beta | PairCorr |
| 1.0 | SAMAX | Moderately Aggressive | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | SAMCX | Salient Mlp Fund | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | SAMIX | Moderately Aggressive | PairCorr |
| 0.96 | SSCCX | Saratoga Small Capit | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | SSCPX | Small Capitalization | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | SSCYX | Small Capitalization | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | SBCCX | Moderately Conservative | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | SBHIX | Health Biotchnology | PairCorr |
| 1.0 | SBMCX | Moderate Balanced | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | SBMIX | Moderate Balanced | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | STPAX | Technology Communications | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | STPCX | Technology Communications | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | STPIX | Technology Communications | PairCorr |
| 1.0 | SUMCX | Conservative Balanced | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | SHPAX | Health Biotchnology | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | SHPCX | Health Biotchnology | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | SIEYX | International Equity | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | SIECX | International Equity | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | SIEPX | International Equity | PairCorr |
Moving against Conservative Mutual Fund
Conservative Balanced Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Conservative Balanced's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Conservative mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Conservative mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Conservative Balanced's beta of 0.33 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Conservative Balanced mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Conservative Balanced Allocation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 5.93 and kurtosis of 43.4. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Conservative Balanced's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Conservative Balanced's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
| α | 0.10 | β | 0.33 | Check current 90 days Conservative Balanced correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
Conservative Balanced Volatility and Downside Risk
Conservative standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Conservative Balanced Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Conservative Balanced fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Conservative Balanced's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Conservative Balanced's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Conservative Balanced's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Conservative Balanced's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Conservative Balanced's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Conservative Balanced's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Conservative Balanced's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Conservative Balanced Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Conservative Balanced Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Conservative Balanced has a beta of 0.3266 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Conservative Balanced average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Conservative Balanced Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Conservative Balanced or Saratoga sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Conservative Balanced's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Conservative fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Conservative Balanced Allocation has an alpha of 0.1046, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
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What Drives a Conservative Balanced Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Conservative Balanced Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Conservative Balanced is 751.23. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.88 and standard deviation of 0.94. The mean deviation of Conservative Balanced Allocation is currently at 0.4. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.73
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Conservative Balanced Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Conservative Balanced historical daily return volatility represents how much of Conservative Balanced fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.9371% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7383% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
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Related Correlations Analysis
| 0.89 | 0.77 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 0.87 | 0.86 | OPTCX | ||
| 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.9 | FGTZX | ||
| 0.77 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.83 | 0.88 | 0.88 | SMPIX | ||
| 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.9 | 0.96 | 0.96 | MSTSX | ||
| 0.93 | 0.87 | 0.83 | 0.9 | 0.93 | 0.88 | LMUSX | ||
| 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.96 | 0.93 | 0.94 | LCIAX | ||
| 0.86 | 0.9 | 0.88 | 0.96 | 0.88 | 0.94 | AFNIX | ||
Risk-Adjusted Indicators
There is a big difference between Conservative Mutual Fund performing well and Conservative Balanced Mutual Fund doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Conservative Balanced's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.| Mean Deviation | Jensen Alpha | Sortino Ratio | Treynor Ratio | Semi Deviation | Expected Shortfall | Potential Upside | Value @Risk | Maximum Drawdown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPTCX | 0.14 | 0.01 | (0.22) | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | |||
| FGTZX | 0.49 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.48 | 0.96 | 4.71 | |||
| SMPIX | 2.59 | 0.29 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 3.00 | 4.70 | 28.59 | |||
| MSTSX | 0.65 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 0.38 | 0.93 | 12.28 | |||
| LMUSX | 0.60 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.74 | 1.26 | 4.94 | |||
| LCIAX | 0.84 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 1.19 | 19.91 | |||
| AFNIX | 0.68 | 0.21 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.92 | 16.68 |
About Conservative Balanced Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Conservative Balanced or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Conservative Balanced may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Conservative's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Conservative Balanced and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Conservative Balanced fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The Portfolios main investment strategy is to invest in other Saratoga Advantage Trust mutual funds andor unaffiliated registered investment companies and exchange-traded funds . It will invest in equity, fixed income and alternative instruments through its investments in the underlying funds.
Conservative Balanced's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Conservative Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Conservative Balanced's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Conservative Balanced's volatility to invest better
Higher Conservative Balanced's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Conservative Balanced fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Conservative Balanced fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Conservative Balanced investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Conservative Balanced's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Conservative Balanced's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Conservative Balanced Investment Opportunity
Conservative Balanced Allocation has a volatility of 0.94 and is 1.27 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 8 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Conservative Balanced. You can use Conservative Balanced Allocation to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Conservative Balanced to be traded at $12.0 in 90 days.Very poor diversification
The correlation between Conservative Balanced Allocati and DJI is 0.88 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Conservative Balanced Allocati and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Conservative Balanced Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Conservative Balanced's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Conservative Balanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Conservative Balanced mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1126 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3986 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4002 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.4306 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 661.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9052 | |||
| Variance | 0.8193 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Conservative Balanced Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Conservative Balanced as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Conservative Balanced's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Conservative Balanced's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Conservative Balanced Allocation.
Other Information on Investing in Conservative Mutual Fund
Conservative Balanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conservative Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conservative with respect to the benefits of owning Conservative Balanced security.
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