Spero Therapeutics Stock Volatility
| SPRO Stock | USD 1.16 0.03 2.52% |
Spero Therapeutics owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0955, which indicates the firm had a -0.0955% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Spero Therapeutics exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Spero Therapeutics' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), variance of 6.22, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,252) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Spero Therapeutics' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Spero Therapeutics Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Spero daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Spero's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Spero Therapeutics volatility.
Spero |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Spero Therapeutics can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Spero Therapeutics at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Spero stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Spero Therapeutics' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Spero Stock
| 0.66 | ME | 23Andme Holding | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | VALN | Valneva SE ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | MRK | Merck Company Fiscal Year End 6th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
Moving against Spero Stock
Spero Therapeutics Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Spero Therapeutics' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Spero stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Spero stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Spero Therapeutics's beta of 0.51 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Spero Therapeutics stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Spero Therapeutics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.78 and kurtosis of 2.55. Spero Therapeutics is a potential penny stock. Although Spero Therapeutics may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Spero Therapeutics. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Spero instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Spero Therapeutics Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Spero Therapeutics correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Spero Beta |
Spero standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.51 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Spero Therapeutics's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Spero Therapeutics' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in spero stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Spero Therapeutics.
Spero Therapeutics Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Spero Therapeutics stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Spero Therapeutics' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Spero Therapeutics' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Spero Therapeutics' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Spero Therapeutics' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Spero Therapeutics' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Spero Therapeutics' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Spero Therapeutics' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Spero Therapeutics Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Spero Therapeutics Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Spero Therapeutics has a beta of 0.5066 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Spero Therapeutics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Spero Therapeutics will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Spero Therapeutics or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Spero Therapeutics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Spero stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Spero Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Spero Therapeutics Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Spero Therapeutics Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Spero Therapeutics is -1047.12. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.32 and standard deviation of 2.51. The mean deviation of Spero Therapeutics is currently at 1.78. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Spero Therapeutics Stock Return Volatility
Spero Therapeutics historical daily return volatility represents how much of Spero Therapeutics stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.5147% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Spero Therapeutics Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Spero Therapeutics or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Spero Therapeutics may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Spero's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Spero Therapeutics and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Spero Therapeutics fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 509.4 K | 452.8 K | |
| Market Cap | 77.5 M | 135.7 M |
Spero Therapeutics' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Spero Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Spero Therapeutics' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Spero Therapeutics' volatility to invest better
Higher Spero Therapeutics' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Spero Therapeutics stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Spero Therapeutics stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Spero Therapeutics investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Spero Therapeutics' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Spero Therapeutics' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Spero Therapeutics Investment Opportunity
Spero Therapeutics has a volatility of 2.51 and is 3.26 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 22 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Spero Therapeutics. You can use Spero Therapeutics to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Spero Therapeutics to be traded at $1.1136 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Spero Therapeutics and DJI is 0.16 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Spero Therapeutics and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Spero Therapeutics Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spero Therapeutics' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spero Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Spero Therapeutics stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.40) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,252) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Variance | 6.22 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Spero Therapeutics Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Spero Therapeutics as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Spero Therapeutics' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Spero Therapeutics' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Spero Therapeutics.
When determining whether Spero Therapeutics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Spero Therapeutics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Spero Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Spero Therapeutics Stock: Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Spero Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. To learn how to invest in Spero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Spero Therapeutics guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Spero Therapeutics. If investors know Spero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Spero Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.753 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share 2.223 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.754 | Return On Assets 0.1048 |
The market value of Spero Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Spero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Spero Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Spero Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Spero Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Spero Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Spero Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Spero Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Spero Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.