Swedish Match Ab Volatility

SWMAYDelisted Stock  USD 10.57  0.00  0.00%   
We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Swedish Match Ab, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Swedish Match's Coefficient Of Variation of 12781.18, risk adjusted performance of 0.0141, and Semi Deviation of 3.54 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Swedish Match's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Swedish Match Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Swedish daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Swedish's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Swedish Match volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Swedish Match can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Swedish Match at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Swedish stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Swedish Match's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving against Swedish Pink Sheet

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Swedish Match Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Swedish Match's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Swedish pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Swedish pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Swedish Match's beta of -0.58 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Swedish Match pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Swedish Match Ab shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Swedish Match's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Swedish Match's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Swedish Match Ab Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Swedish Match correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Swedish Beta

    
  -0.58  
Swedish standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.0  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Swedish Match's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Swedish Match's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in swedish pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Swedish Match.

Swedish Match Ab Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Swedish Match pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Swedish Match's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Swedish Match's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Swedish Match's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Swedish Match's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Swedish Match's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Swedish Match's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Swedish Match's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
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Swedish Match Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Swedish Match Ab has a beta of -0.5752 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Swedish Match are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Swedish Match Ab is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Swedish Match or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Swedish Match's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Swedish pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Swedish Match Ab has an alpha of 0.0883, implying that it can generate a 0.0883 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Swedish Match's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how swedish pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Swedish Match Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Swedish Match Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Swedish Match historical daily return volatility represents how much of Swedish Match pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7777% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Swedish Match Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Swedish Match or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Swedish Match may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Swedish's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Swedish Match and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Swedish Match fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Swedish Match AB develops, manufactures, markets, and sells snus and moist snuff, lights, and other tobacco products in Scandinavia, the United States, and internationally. The company was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Swedish Match operates under Tobacco classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 7523 people.
Swedish Match's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Swedish Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Swedish Match's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Swedish Match's volatility to invest better

Higher Swedish Match's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Swedish Match Ab stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Swedish Match Ab stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Swedish Match Ab investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Swedish Match's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Swedish Match's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Swedish Match Investment Opportunity

Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.78 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Swedish Match Ab. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Swedish Match. You can use Swedish Match Ab to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Swedish Match to be traded at $10.46 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Swedish Match Ab and DJI is -0.11 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Swedish Match Ab and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Swedish Match Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Swedish Match's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Swedish Match's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Swedish Match pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Swedish Match Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Swedish Match as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Swedish Match's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Swedish Match's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Swedish Match Ab.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Other Consideration for investing in Swedish Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Swedish Match Ab check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Swedish Match's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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