Templeton China World Volatility
TCWAXDelisted Fund | USD 8.08 0.00 0.00% |
Templeton China appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Templeton China World owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.15, which indicates the fund had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-five technical indicators for Templeton China World, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Templeton China's Coefficient Of Variation of 899.75, semi deviation of 1.79, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0918 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Templeton China's volatility include:
540 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 540 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Templeton China Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Templeton daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Templeton's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Templeton China volatility.
Templeton |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Templeton China. They may decide to buy additional shares of Templeton China at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Templeton Mutual Fund
Moving against Templeton Mutual Fund
0.66 | CIFRX | Columbia Porate Income | PairCorr |
0.63 | LIIAX | Columbia Porate Income | PairCorr |
0.63 | SRINX | Columbia Porate Income | PairCorr |
0.36 | VEMBX | Vanguard Emerging Markets | PairCorr |
Templeton China Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Templeton China's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Templeton mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Templeton mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Templeton China's beta of -0.14 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Templeton China mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Templeton China World currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Templeton China's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Templeton China's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Templeton China World Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Templeton China correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Templeton Beta |
Templeton standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.82 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Templeton China's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Templeton China's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in templeton mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Templeton China.
Templeton China World Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Templeton China fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Templeton China's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Templeton China's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Templeton China's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Templeton China's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Templeton China's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Templeton China's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Templeton China's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Templeton China Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Templeton China World has a beta of -0.1367 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Templeton China are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Templeton China World is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Templeton China or Franklin Templeton Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Templeton China's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Templeton fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Templeton China World has an alpha of 0.2625, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Templeton China Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Templeton China Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Templeton China is 666.9. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 7.96 and standard deviation of 2.82. The mean deviation of Templeton China World is currently at 1.69. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Templeton China Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Templeton China historical daily return volatility represents how much of Templeton China fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 2.8208% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Templeton China Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Templeton China or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Templeton China may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Templeton's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Templeton China and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Templeton China fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Templeton China's volatility to invest better
Higher Templeton China's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Templeton China World fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Templeton China World fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Templeton China World investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Templeton China's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Templeton China's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Templeton China Investment Opportunity
Templeton China World has a volatility of 2.82 and is 3.81 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 25 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Templeton China. You can use Templeton China World to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Templeton China to be traded at $8.0 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Templeton China World and DJI is -0.05 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Templeton China World and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Templeton China Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Templeton China's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Templeton China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Templeton China mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0918 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.79) | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
Semi Deviation | 1.79 | |||
Downside Deviation | 2.31 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 899.75 | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Templeton China Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
Bank of America vs. Templeton China | ||
Microsoft vs. Templeton China | ||
Salesforce vs. Templeton China | ||
Visa vs. Templeton China | ||
Citigroup vs. Templeton China | ||
Alphabet vs. Templeton China | ||
GM vs. Templeton China | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Templeton China as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Templeton China's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Templeton China's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Templeton China World.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Other Consideration for investing in Templeton Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Templeton China World check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Templeton China's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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