Elsaeed Contracting (Egypt) Volatility
| UEGC Stock | 0.98 0.01 1.01% |
Elsaeed Contracting appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Elsaeed Contracting Real secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0973, which denotes the company had a 0.0973% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Elsaeed Contracting Real, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Elsaeed Contracting's Mean Deviation of 1.55, coefficient of variation of 613.35, and Downside Deviation of 2.14 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Elsaeed |
Elsaeed Contracting Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Elsaeed daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Elsaeed's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Elsaeed Contracting volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Elsaeed Contracting can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Elsaeed Contracting at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Elsaeed Contracting's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Elsaeed Contracting Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Elsaeed Contracting's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Elsaeed stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Elsaeed stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Elsaeed Contracting's beta of 0.15 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Elsaeed Contracting stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Elsaeed Contracting Real currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.46. Elsaeed Contracting Real is a potential penny stock. Although Elsaeed Contracting may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Elsaeed Contracting Real. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Elsaeed instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Elsaeed Contracting Real Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Elsaeed Contracting correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Elsaeed Beta |
Elsaeed standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.25 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Elsaeed Contracting's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Elsaeed Contracting's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in elsaeed stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Elsaeed Contracting.
Elsaeed Contracting Real Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Elsaeed Contracting stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Elsaeed Contracting's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Elsaeed Contracting's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Elsaeed Contracting's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Elsaeed Contracting's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Elsaeed Contracting's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Elsaeed Contracting's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Elsaeed Contracting's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Elsaeed Contracting Real Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Elsaeed Contracting Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Elsaeed Contracting has a beta of 0.154 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Elsaeed Contracting average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Elsaeed Contracting Real will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Elsaeed Contracting or Elsaeed sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Elsaeed Contracting's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Elsaeed stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Elsaeed Contracting Real has an alpha of 0.4581, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Elsaeed Contracting Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Elsaeed Contracting Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Elsaeed Contracting is 1027.46. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 10.55 and standard deviation of 3.25. The mean deviation of Elsaeed Contracting Real is currently at 1.53. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Elsaeed Contracting Stock Return Volatility
Elsaeed Contracting historical daily return volatility represents how much of Elsaeed Contracting stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 3.2484% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Elsaeed Contracting Investment Opportunity
Elsaeed Contracting Real has a volatility of 3.25 and is 4.33 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Elsaeed Contracting Real is lower than 28 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Elsaeed Contracting Real to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Elsaeed Contracting to be traded at 0.9506 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Elsaeed Contracting Real and DJI is 0.04 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Elsaeed Contracting Real and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Elsaeed Contracting Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Elsaeed Contracting's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Elsaeed Contracting's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Elsaeed Contracting stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1321 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 3.11 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 613.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.99 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Elsaeed Contracting Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Elsaeed Contracting as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Elsaeed Contracting's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Elsaeed Contracting's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Elsaeed Contracting Real.
Complementary Tools for Elsaeed Stock analysis
When running Elsaeed Contracting's price analysis, check to measure Elsaeed Contracting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elsaeed Contracting is operating at the current time. Most of Elsaeed Contracting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elsaeed Contracting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elsaeed Contracting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elsaeed Contracting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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