COMERICA INC 4 Volatility
| 200340AT4 | 98.39 3.14 3.30% |
COMERICA INC 4 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0688, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0688% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. COMERICA INC 4 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm COMERICA's mean deviation of 0.9977, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0283 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to COMERICA's volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Default | 360 Days Economic Sensitivity |
COMERICA Bond volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of COMERICA daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use COMERICA's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of COMERICA volatility.
COMERICA |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with COMERICA. They may decide to buy additional shares of COMERICA at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with COMERICA Bond
| 0.65 | 90331HPL1 | US BANK NATIONAL | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | PFE | Pfizer Inc Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | KO | Coca Cola Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
Moving against COMERICA Bond
| 0.73 | DIS | Walt Disney | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | BAC | Bank of America Fiscal Year End 10th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | CVX | Chevron Corp Fiscal Year End 7th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | JPM | JPMorgan Chase Fiscal Year End 10th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | CSCO | Cisco Systems Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | AXP | American Express Fiscal Year End 24th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | WMT | Walmart Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | T | ATT Inc Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
COMERICA Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
COMERICA's beta coefficient measures the volatility of COMERICA bond compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents COMERICA bond's returns against your selected market. In other words, COMERICA's beta of 0.28 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk COMERICA bond can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. COMERICA INC 4 currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure COMERICA's bond risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact COMERICA's bond price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze COMERICA INC 4 Demand TrendCheck current 90 days COMERICA correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)COMERICA Beta |
COMERICA standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.16 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by COMERICA's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of COMERICA's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in comerica bond tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in COMERICA.
COMERICA INC 4 Bond Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which COMERICA bond price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with COMERICA's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of COMERICA's bond to predict their future moves. A bond that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A bond with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile bond is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of COMERICA's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of bond volatility measures COMERICA's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict COMERICA's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the bond.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for COMERICA's current market price. This means that the bond will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on COMERICA's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. COMERICA INC 4 Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
COMERICA Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COMERICA has a beta of 0.2761 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, COMERICA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COMERICA INC 4 will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to COMERICA or Banking sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that COMERICA's price will be affected by overall bond market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a COMERICA bond's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
COMERICA INC 4 has an alpha of 0.0236, implying that it can generate a 0.0236 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a COMERICA Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a bond's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.COMERICA Bond Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of COMERICA is -1453.45. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.36 and standard deviation of 1.16. The mean deviation of COMERICA INC 4 is currently at 0.56. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
COMERICA Bond Return Volatility
COMERICA historical daily return volatility represents how much of COMERICA bond's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. COMERICA INC 4 accepts 1.1645% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About COMERICA Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of COMERICA or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of COMERICA may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to COMERICA's beta indicator, it measures the risk of COMERICA and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of COMERICA fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize COMERICA's volatility to invest better
Higher COMERICA's bond volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of COMERICA INC 4 bond is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. COMERICA INC 4 bond volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of COMERICA INC 4 investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in COMERICA's bond can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of COMERICA's bond relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
COMERICA Investment Opportunity
COMERICA INC 4 has a volatility of 1.16 and is 1.51 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 10 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than COMERICA. You can use COMERICA INC 4 to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The bond experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of COMERICA to be traded at 118.07 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between COMERICA INC 4 and DJI is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding COMERICA INC 4 and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
COMERICA Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of COMERICA's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in COMERICA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of COMERICA bond's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0283 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2162 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9977 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3557.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential bonds, we recommend comparing similar bonds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
COMERICA Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| Walker Dunlop vs. COMERICA | ||
| Microsoft vs. COMERICA | ||
| Visa vs. COMERICA | ||
| Salesforce vs. COMERICA | ||
| Bank of America vs. COMERICA | ||
| Snap vs. COMERICA | ||
| Dupont De vs. COMERICA | ||
| GM vs. COMERICA | ||
| Citigroup vs. COMERICA | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against COMERICA as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. COMERICA's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, COMERICA's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to COMERICA INC 4.
Other Information on Investing in COMERICA Bond
COMERICA financial ratios help investors to determine whether COMERICA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COMERICA with respect to the benefits of owning COMERICA security.