JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 Volatility
| 46647PDF0 | 97.89 0.85 0.86% |
JPM 4565 14 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 46647PDF0's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,158), mean deviation of 0.3638, and Information Ratio of (0.23) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
46647PDF0 |
46647PDF0 Bond volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of 46647PDF0 daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use 46647PDF0's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of 46647PDF0 volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with 46647PDF0. They may decide to buy additional shares of 46647PDF0 at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with 46647PDF0 Bond
| 0.82 | MRK | Merck Company Fiscal Year End 6th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
Moving against 46647PDF0 Bond
| 0.86 | CSCO | Cisco Systems Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | CVX | Chevron Corp Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | AXP | American Express Fiscal Year End 24th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | DIS | Walt Disney Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | TRV | The Travelers Companies Fiscal Year End 17th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | HPQ | HP Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | T | ATT Inc Fiscal Year End 22nd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | HD | Home Depot | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | INTC | Intel Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 | PairCorr |
46647PDF0 Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
46647PDF0's beta coefficient measures the volatility of 46647PDF0 bond compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents 46647PDF0 bond's returns against your selected market. In other words, 46647PDF0's beta of -0.0391 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk 46647PDF0 bond can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.95 and kurtosis of 13.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure 46647PDF0's bond risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact 46647PDF0's bond price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze JPM 4565 14 Demand TrendCheck current 90 days 46647PDF0 correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)46647PDF0 Beta |
46647PDF0 standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.44 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by 46647PDF0's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of 46647PDF0's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in 46647pdf0 bond tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in 46647PDF0.
JPM 4565 14 Bond Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which 46647PDF0 bond price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with 46647PDF0's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of 46647PDF0's bond to predict their future moves. A bond that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A bond with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile bond is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of 46647PDF0's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of bond volatility measures 46647PDF0's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict 46647PDF0's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the bond.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for 46647PDF0's current market price. This means that the bond will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on 46647PDF0's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. JPM 4565 14 Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
46647PDF0 Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 has a beta of -0.0391 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 46647PDF0 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to 46647PDF0 or 46647PDF0 sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that 46647PDF0's price will be affected by overall bond market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a 46647PDF0 bond's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a 46647PDF0 Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a bond's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.46647PDF0 Bond Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of 46647PDF0 is -788.9. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.19 and standard deviation of 0.44. The mean deviation of JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 is currently at 0.29. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
46647PDF0 Bond Return Volatility
46647PDF0 historical daily return volatility represents how much of 46647PDF0 bond's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 accepts 0.4365% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About 46647PDF0 Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of 46647PDF0 or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of 46647PDF0 may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to 46647PDF0's beta indicator, it measures the risk of 46647PDF0 and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of 46647PDF0 fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize 46647PDF0's volatility to invest better
Higher 46647PDF0's bond volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of JPM 4565 14 bond is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. JPM 4565 14 bond volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of JPM 4565 14 investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in 46647PDF0's bond can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of 46647PDF0's bond relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
46647PDF0 Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.74 and is 1.68 times more volatile than JPM 4565 14 JUN 30. 3 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than 46647PDF0. You can use JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The bond experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of 46647PDF0 to be traded at 95.93 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 and DJI is -0.04 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding JPM 4565 14 JUN 30 and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
46647PDF0 Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of 46647PDF0's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 46647PDF0's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of 46647PDF0 bond's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.06 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.3638 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,158) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6724 | |||
| Variance | 0.4521 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential bonds, we recommend comparing similar bonds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
46647PDF0 Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against 46647PDF0 as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. 46647PDF0's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, 46647PDF0's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to JPM 4565 14 JUN 30.
Other Information on Investing in 46647PDF0 Bond
46647PDF0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 46647PDF0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 46647PDF0 with respect to the benefits of owning 46647PDF0 security.