Uscf Gold Strategy Etf Volatility
| USG Etf | USD 29.61 0.15 0.51% |
At this point, USCF Gold is very steady. USCF Gold Strategy retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0837, which indicates the etf had a 0.0837% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for USCF Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate USCF Gold's downside deviation of 1.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.061 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.079%. Key indicators related to USCF Gold's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
USCF Gold Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of USCF daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use USCF's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of USCF Gold volatility.
USCF |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with USCF Gold. They may decide to buy additional shares of USCF Gold at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with USCF Etf
| 1.0 | GLD | SPDR Gold Shares | PairCorr |
| 1.0 | IAU | iShares Gold Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | SLV | iShares Silver Trust | PairCorr |
| 1.0 | GLDM | SPDR Gold MiniShares | PairCorr |
| 1.0 | SGOL | abrdn Physical Gold | PairCorr |
| 0.98 | GLTR | abrdn Physical Precious | PairCorr |
USCF Gold Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
USCF Gold's beta coefficient measures the volatility of USCF etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents USCF etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, USCF Gold's beta of -0.15 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk USCF Gold etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. USCF Gold Strategy has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.78 and kurtosis of 1.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure USCF Gold's etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact USCF Gold's etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze USCF Gold Strategy Demand TrendCheck current 90 days USCF Gold correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)USCF Beta |
USCF standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.94 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by USCF Gold's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of USCF Gold's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in uscf etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in USCF Gold.
USCF Gold Strategy Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which USCF Gold etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with USCF Gold's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of USCF Gold's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of USCF Gold's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures USCF Gold's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict USCF Gold's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for USCF Gold's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on USCF Gold's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. USCF Gold Strategy Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
USCF Gold Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon USCF Gold Strategy has a beta of -0.1464 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding USCF Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, USCF Gold Strategy is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to USCF Gold or USCF Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that USCF Gold's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a USCF etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
USCF Gold Strategy has an alpha of 0.0798, implying that it can generate a 0.0798 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an USCF Gold Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.USCF Gold Etf Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of USCF Gold is 1194.56. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.89 and standard deviation of 0.94. The mean deviation of USCF Gold Strategy is currently at 0.72. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
USCF Gold Etf Return Volatility
USCF Gold historical daily return volatility represents how much of USCF Gold etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The Exchange Traded Fund has volatility of 0.9438% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7734% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About USCF Gold Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of USCF Gold or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of USCF Gold may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to USCF's beta indicator, it measures the risk of USCF Gold and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of USCF Gold fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The fund adviser seeks to achieve its investment objective by maintaining substantial economic exposure to the performance of the physical gold and gold futures markets . The fund will only invest in COMEX Gold Warrants and gold futures through the subsidiary. The fund is non-diversified.
USCF Gold's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on USCF Etf over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much USCF Gold's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize USCF Gold's volatility to invest better
Higher USCF Gold's etf volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of USCF Gold Strategy etf is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. USCF Gold Strategy etf volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of USCF Gold Strategy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in USCF Gold's etf can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of USCF Gold's etf relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
USCF Gold Investment Opportunity
USCF Gold Strategy has a volatility of 0.94 and is 1.22 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of USCF Gold Strategy is lower than 8 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use USCF Gold Strategy to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The etf experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of USCF Gold to be traded at $32.57 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between USCF Gold Strategy and DJI is -0.12 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding USCF Gold Strategy and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
USCF Gold Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of USCF Gold's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in USCF Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of USCF Gold etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.061 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.41) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7123 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9468 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1292.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9326 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
USCF Gold Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against USCF Gold as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. USCF Gold's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, USCF Gold's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to USCF Gold Strategy.
Other Information on Investing in USCF Etf
USCF Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether USCF Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in USCF with respect to the benefits of owning USCF Gold security.