Horizon Defensive Equity Fund Volatility

USRTX Fund  USD 34.07  0.03  0.09%   
At this stage we consider Horizon Mutual Fund to be very steady. Horizon Defensive Equity holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the entity had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Horizon Defensive Equity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Horizon Us' Downside Deviation of 0.6162, risk adjusted performance of 0.1044, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1213 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0709%. Key indicators related to Horizon Us' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Horizon Us Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Horizon daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Horizon's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Horizon Us volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Horizon Us. They may decide to buy additional shares of Horizon Us at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with Horizon Mutual Fund

  0.89ARANX Horizon Active RiskPairCorr
  0.89ARAAX Horizon Active RiskPairCorr
  0.93AAANX Horizon Active AssetPairCorr
  0.97HNDDX Horizon Active DividendPairCorr
  0.96HNDRX Horizon Defined RiskPairCorr
  0.9ACRIX Horizon Active RiskPairCorr
  1.0USRAX Horizon Defensive EquityPairCorr
  0.96HADRX Horizon Defined RiskPairCorr

Moving against Horizon Mutual Fund

  0.56AIHAX Horizon Active IncomePairCorr
  0.55AIMNX Horizon Active IncomePairCorr
  0.55AIRIX Horizon Active IncomePairCorr

Horizon Us Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Horizon Us' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Horizon mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Horizon mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Horizon Us's beta of 0.68 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Horizon Us mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Horizon Defensive Equity exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of 0.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Horizon Us' mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Horizon Us' mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Horizon Defensive Equity Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Horizon Us correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Horizon Beta

    
  0.68  
Horizon standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.62  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Horizon Us's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Horizon Us' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in horizon mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Horizon Us.

Horizon Defensive Equity Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Horizon Us fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Horizon Us' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Horizon Us' mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Horizon Us' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Horizon Us' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Horizon Us' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Horizon Us' current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Horizon Us' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Horizon Defensive Equity Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Horizon Us Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Horizon Us has a beta of 0.684 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Horizon Us average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Horizon Defensive Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Horizon Us or Horizon Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Horizon Us' price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Horizon fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Horizon Defensive Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Horizon Us' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how horizon mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Horizon Us Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Horizon Us Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Horizon Us is 871.36. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.38 and standard deviation of 0.62. The mean deviation of Horizon Defensive Equity is currently at 0.46. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0065
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Horizon Us Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Horizon Us historical daily return volatility represents how much of Horizon Us fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.6176% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7762% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Horizon Us Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Horizon Us or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Horizon Us may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Horizon's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Horizon Us and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Horizon Us fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in large and mid-cap U.S. common stocks, and employs defensive techniques, including strategic portfolio positioning, to achieve lower overall volatility as compared to the market generally. The fund will invest not less than 80 percent of the value of its net assets in the equity securities of U.S. companies.
Horizon Us' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Horizon Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Horizon Us' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Horizon Us' volatility to invest better

Higher Horizon Us' fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Horizon Defensive Equity fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Horizon Defensive Equity fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Horizon Defensive Equity investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Horizon Us' fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Horizon Us' fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Horizon Us Investment Opportunity

Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.78 and is 1.26 times more volatile than Horizon Defensive Equity. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Horizon Us. You can use Horizon Defensive Equity to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Horizon Us to be traded at $35.77 in 90 days.

Very poor diversification

The correlation between Horizon Defensive Equity and DJI is 0.85 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Horizon Defensive Equity and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Horizon Us Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Horizon Us' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Horizon Us' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Horizon Us mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Horizon Us Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Horizon Us as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Horizon Us' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Horizon Us' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Horizon Defensive Equity.

Other Information on Investing in Horizon Mutual Fund

Horizon Us financial ratios help investors to determine whether Horizon Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Horizon with respect to the benefits of owning Horizon Us security.
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