PT United (Germany) Volatility
| UTY Stock | EUR 1.51 0.03 1.95% |
At this point, PT United is dangerous. PT United Tractors retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0175, which implies the firm had a 0.0175% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for PT United, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check PT United's standard deviation of 4.03, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1304 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0713%. Key indicators related to PT United's volatility include:
540 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 540 Days Economic Sensitivity |
PT United Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of UTY daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use UTY's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of PT United volatility.
UTY |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as PT United can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of PT United at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of PT United's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against UTY Stock
PT United Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
PT United's beta coefficient measures the volatility of UTY stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents UTY stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, PT United's beta of 0.75 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk PT United stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. PT United Tractors shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PT United's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PT United's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze PT United Tractors Demand TrendCheck current 90 days PT United correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)UTY Beta |
UTY standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.07 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by PT United's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of PT United's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in uty stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in PT United.
PT United Tractors Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which PT United stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with PT United's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of PT United's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of PT United's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures PT United's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict PT United's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for PT United's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on PT United's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. PT United Tractors Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
PT United Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon PT United has a beta of 0.7496 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PT United average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT United Tractors will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PT United or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PT United's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a UTY stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
PT United Tractors has an alpha of 0.0046, implying that it can generate a 0.0046 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a PT United Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.PT United Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of PT United is 5715.61. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 16.59 and standard deviation of 4.07. The mean deviation of PT United Tractors is currently at 2.37. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0059 |
PT United Stock Return Volatility
PT United historical daily return volatility represents how much of PT United stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 4.0734% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7522% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About PT United Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of PT United or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of PT United may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to UTY's beta indicator, it measures the risk of PT United and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of PT United fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.PT United Tractors Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, sells and rents heavy equipment in Indonesia. PT United Tractors Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Astra International Tbk. UTD TRACTORS operates under Farm Construction Equipment classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
PT United's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on UTY Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much PT United's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize PT United's volatility to invest better
Higher PT United's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of PT United Tractors stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. PT United Tractors stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of PT United Tractors investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in PT United's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of PT United's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
PT United Investment Opportunity
PT United Tractors has a volatility of 4.07 and is 5.43 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of PT United Tractors is lower than 36 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use PT United Tractors to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of PT United to be traded at €1.4647 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between PT United Tractors and DJI is 0.14 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PT United Tractors and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
PT United Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of PT United's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT United's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of PT United stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0271 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1304 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.75 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.61 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4023.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
PT United Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against PT United as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. PT United's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, PT United's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to PT United Tractors.
Complementary Tools for UTY Stock analysis
When running PT United's price analysis, check to measure PT United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT United is operating at the current time. Most of PT United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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