Vanguard Momentum Factor Etf Volatility
| VFMO Etf | USD 178.39 0.41 0.23% |
Vanguard Momentum appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Vanguard Momentum Factor owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the etf had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard Momentum Factor, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please review Vanguard Momentum's Semi Deviation of 0.8153, risk adjusted performance of 0.1288, and Coefficient Of Variation of 608.39 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Vanguard Momentum's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Vanguard Momentum Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Vanguard daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Vanguard's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Vanguard Momentum volatility.
Vanguard |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Vanguard Momentum. They may decide to buy additional shares of Vanguard Momentum at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Vanguard Etf
| 0.99 | VOT | Vanguard Mid Cap | PairCorr |
| 0.99 | IWP | iShares Russell Mid | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | ARKK | ARK Innovation ETF | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | IJK | iShares SP Mid | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | JKH | iShares Morningstar Mid | PairCorr |
| 0.99 | KOMP | SPDR Kensho New | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | MDYG | SPDR SP 400 | PairCorr |
| 0.99 | IMCG | iShares Morningstar Mid | PairCorr |
| 0.98 | FPX | First Trust Equity | PairCorr |
Moving against Vanguard Etf
Vanguard Momentum Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Vanguard Momentum's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Vanguard etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Vanguard etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, Vanguard Momentum's beta of 1.24 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Vanguard Momentum etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Vanguard Momentum Factor has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.14, Maximum Drawdown of 5.22 and kurtosis of 1.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vanguard Momentum's etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vanguard Momentum's etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Vanguard Momentum Factor Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Vanguard Momentum correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Vanguard Beta |
Vanguard standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.13 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Vanguard Momentum's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Vanguard Momentum's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in vanguard etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Vanguard Momentum.
Vanguard Momentum Factor Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Vanguard Momentum etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Vanguard Momentum's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Vanguard Momentum's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Vanguard Momentum's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures Vanguard Momentum's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Vanguard Momentum's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Vanguard Momentum's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Vanguard Momentum's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Vanguard Momentum Factor Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Vanguard Momentum Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.2444 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vanguard Momentum will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vanguard Momentum or Vanguard sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vanguard Momentum's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vanguard etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Vanguard Momentum Factor has an alpha of 0.0264, implying that it can generate a 0.0264 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Vanguard Momentum Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Vanguard Momentum Etf Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Vanguard Momentum is 533.25. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.27 and standard deviation of 1.13. The mean deviation of Vanguard Momentum Factor is currently at 0.84. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Vanguard Momentum Etf Return Volatility
Vanguard Momentum historical daily return volatility represents how much of Vanguard Momentum etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF inherits 1.1263% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7736% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Vanguard Momentum Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Vanguard Momentum or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Vanguard Momentum may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Vanguard's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Vanguard Momentum and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Vanguard Momentum fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The fund invests primarily in U.S. common stocks with the potential to generate higher returns relative to the broad U.S. equity market by investing in stocks with strong recent performance as determined by the advisor. US Momentum is traded on BATS Exchange in the United States.
Vanguard Momentum's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Vanguard Etf over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Vanguard Momentum's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Vanguard Momentum's volatility to invest better
Higher Vanguard Momentum's etf volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Vanguard Momentum Factor etf is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Vanguard Momentum Factor etf volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Vanguard Momentum Factor investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Vanguard Momentum's etf can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Vanguard Momentum's etf relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Vanguard Momentum Investment Opportunity
Vanguard Momentum Factor has a volatility of 1.13 and is 1.47 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 10 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Vanguard Momentum. You can use Vanguard Momentum Factor to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The etf experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Vanguard Momentum to be traded at $187.31 in 90 days.Very poor diversification
The correlation between Vanguard Momentum Factor and DJI is 0.85 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Momentum Factor and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Vanguard Momentum Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vanguard Momentum's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vanguard Momentum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Vanguard Momentum etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1288 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1499 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8428 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8153 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9976 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 608.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Vanguard Momentum Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Vanguard Momentum as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Vanguard Momentum's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Vanguard Momentum's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Vanguard Momentum Factor.
When determining whether Vanguard Momentum Factor offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vanguard Momentum's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vanguard Momentum Factor Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vanguard Momentum Factor Etf: Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vanguard Momentum Factor. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
The market value of Vanguard Momentum Factor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Momentum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Momentum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Momentum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Momentum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Momentum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Momentum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Momentum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.