Welsbach Technology Metals Stock Volatility
| WTMAR Stock | USD 0.13 0.00 0.00% |
Welsbach Technology is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Welsbach Technology shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.31, which attests that the company had a 0.31% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 106.09% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Welsbach Technology Metals Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1588, standard deviation of 13.32, and Mean Deviation of 6.93 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Welsbach Technology's volatility include:
270 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 270 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Welsbach Technology Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Welsbach daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Welsbach's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Welsbach Technology volatility.
Welsbach |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Welsbach Technology can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Welsbach Technology at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Welsbach stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Welsbach Technology's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Welsbach Technology Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Welsbach Technology's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Welsbach stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Welsbach stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Welsbach Technology's beta of -0.69 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Welsbach Technology stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Welsbach Technology Metals is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Welsbach Technology Metals is a potential penny stock. Although Welsbach Technology may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Welsbach Technology Metals. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Welsbach instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Welsbach Technology Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Welsbach Technology correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Welsbach Beta |
Welsbach standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 338.23 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Welsbach Technology's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Welsbach Technology's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in welsbach stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Welsbach Technology.
Welsbach Technology Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Welsbach Technology stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Welsbach Technology's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Welsbach Technology's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Welsbach Technology's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Welsbach Technology's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Welsbach Technology's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Welsbach Technology's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Welsbach Technology's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Welsbach Technology Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Welsbach Technology Metals has a beta of -0.6949 . This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Welsbach Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Welsbach Technology Metals is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Welsbach Technology or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Welsbach Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Welsbach stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Welsbach Technology Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Welsbach Technology Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Welsbach Technology Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Welsbach Technology is 318.82. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 114400.53 and standard deviation of 338.23. The mean deviation of Welsbach Technology Metals is currently at 210.33. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 338.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Welsbach Technology Stock Return Volatility
Welsbach Technology historical daily return volatility represents how much of Welsbach Technology stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise shows 338.2315% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7626% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Welsbach Technology Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Welsbach Technology or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Welsbach Technology may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Welsbach's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Welsbach Technology and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Welsbach Technology fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Market Cap | 69.4 M | 68.9 M |
Welsbach Technology's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Welsbach Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Welsbach Technology's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Welsbach Technology's volatility to invest better
Higher Welsbach Technology's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Welsbach Technology stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Welsbach Technology stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Welsbach Technology investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Welsbach Technology's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Welsbach Technology's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Welsbach Technology Investment Opportunity
Welsbach Technology Metals has a volatility of 338.23 and is 445.04 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Welsbach Technology Metals is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Welsbach Technology Metals to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Welsbach Technology to be traded at $0.1287 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Welsbach Technology Metals and DJI is -0.04 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Welsbach Technology Metals and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Welsbach Technology Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Welsbach Technology's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Welsbach Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Welsbach Technology stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.004 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1588 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 6.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (14,265) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.32 | |||
| Variance | 177.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Welsbach Technology Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Welsbach Technology as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Welsbach Technology's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Welsbach Technology's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Welsbach Technology Metals.
Additional Tools for Welsbach Stock Analysis
When running Welsbach Technology's price analysis, check to measure Welsbach Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Welsbach Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Welsbach Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Welsbach Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Welsbach Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Welsbach Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.