American Eagle Earnings Estimate
| AEO Stock | USD 16.55 0.15 0.91% |
American |
American Eagle Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of American Eagle's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of American Eagle is estimated to be 0.4259 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.42 to a high of 0.4352. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for American Eagle Outfitters is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
0.42 Lowest | Expected EPS | 0.44 Highest |
American Eagle Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of American Eagle's value are higher than the current market price of the American Eagle stock. In this case, investors may conclude that American Eagle is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and American Eagle's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of January 2025 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 11 | 59.01% | 0.48 | 0.4259 | 1.17 |
American Eagle Earnings History
Earnings estimate consensus by American Eagle Outfitters analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge American Eagle's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only American Eagle's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.American Eagle Quarterly Gross Profit |
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Eagle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Eagle Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
Actual Earning per Share of American Eagle refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering American Eagle Outfitters predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of American Eagle, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.American Eagle Estimated Months Earnings per Share
For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as American Eagle, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of American Eagle should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.American Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics
Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Eagle's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-12-05 | 2024-10-31 | 0.4644 | 0.48 | 0.0156 | 3 | ||
2024-08-29 | 2024-07-31 | 0.3826 | 0.39 | 0.0074 | 1 | ||
2024-05-30 | 2024-04-30 | 0.2841 | 0.34 | 0.0559 | 19 | ||
2024-03-07 | 2024-01-31 | 0.5047 | 0.61 | 0.1053 | 20 | ||
2023-11-21 | 2023-10-31 | 0.488 | 0.49 | 0.002 | 0 |
About American Eagle Earnings Estimate
The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of American Eagle earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current American Eagle estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as American Eagle fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Retained Earnings | 2.5 B | 1.3 B | |
| Retained Earnings Total Equity | 2.4 B | 1.6 B | |
| Earnings Yield | 0.10 | 0.15 | |
| Price Earnings Ratio | 10.13 | 17.68 | |
| Price Earnings To Growth Ratio | 0.14 | 0.15 |
Pair Trading with American Eagle
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Eagle position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Eagle will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with American Stock
Moving against American Stock
| 0.7 | RH | RH | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | EBAY | eBay Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | AN | AutoNation | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | VSCO | Victorias Secret | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Eagle could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Eagle when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Eagle - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Eagle Outfitters to buy it.
The correlation of American Eagle is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Eagle moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Eagle Outfitters moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Eagle can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Eagle Outfitters. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Eagle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Eagle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.568 | Earnings Share 1.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.075 | Return On Assets |
The market value of American Eagle Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Eagle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Eagle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Eagle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Eagle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Eagle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.