American Eagle Outfitters Stock Z Score

AEO Stock

USD 17.22 0.05 0.29%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out American Eagle Piotroski F Score and American Eagle Valuation analysis.

At this time, American Eagle's Capital Surpluse is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Change In Working Capital is likely to grow to about 54.1 M, while Net Invested Capital is likely to drop about 1.6 B. At this time, American Eagle's Income Before Tax is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Total Other Income Expense Net is likely to grow to about 18 M, while Interest Expense is likely to drop about 1.1 M.

American Eagle Outfitters Company Z Score Analysis

American Eagle's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

American Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for American Eagle is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of American Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since American Eagle's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of American Eagle's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of American Eagle's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Accounts Payable	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Current Deferred Revenue	Common Stock	Short Term Investments	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Cash And Equivalents
Total Assets		0.65	0.81	0.64	0.95	0.73	0.9	0.69	0.89	0.72	-0.59	0.52	0.63	0.89	0.43	0.7	-0.79	-0.42	-0.32	-0.16	0.78	0.06	-0.46	-0.46
Total Stockholder Equity	0.65		0.21	0.83	0.43	0.84	0.42	0.94	0.51	0.81	-0.86	0.21	0.65	0.49	0.1	0.38	-0.81	-0.13	-0.34	-0.29	0.42	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05
Net Debt	0.81	0.21		0.31	0.93	0.33	0.87	0.32	0.82	0.25	-0.06	0.44	0.5	0.76	0.52	0.72	-0.44	-0.25	-0.32	0.08	0.76	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33
Accounts Payable	0.64	0.83	0.31		0.52	0.79	0.35	0.95	0.4	0.83	-0.82	0.38	0.56	0.38	0.41	0.12	-0.9	-0.21	-0.02	-0.26	0.23	-0.09	0.1	0.1
Total Liab	0.95	0.43	0.93	0.52		0.62	0.92	0.54	0.85	0.55	-0.37	0.59	0.58	0.85	0.57	0.65	-0.67	-0.39	-0.21	-0.04	0.76	0.09	-0.36	-0.36
Total Current Assets	0.73	0.84	0.33	0.79	0.62		0.56	0.85	0.49	0.83	-0.76	0.55	0.6	0.56	0.39	0.28	-0.78	-0.23	-0.05	-0.26	0.45	0.27	-0.02	-0.02
Short Term Debt	0.9	0.42	0.87	0.35	0.92	0.56		0.42	0.9	0.43	-0.29	0.56	0.62	0.94	0.29	0.8	-0.54	-0.39	-0.41	-0.02	0.87	0.18	-0.45	-0.45
Retained Earnings	0.69	0.94	0.32	0.95	0.54	0.85	0.42		0.51	0.87	-0.87	0.38	0.7	0.47	0.37	0.29	-0.93	-0.19	-0.11	-0.23	0.36	-0.09	0.06	0.06
Net Receivables	0.89	0.51	0.82	0.4	0.85	0.49	0.9	0.51		0.52	-0.36	0.47	0.67	0.95	0.27	0.92	-0.59	-0.42	-0.48	-0.09	0.95	0.11	-0.56	-0.56
Current Deferred Revenue	0.72	0.81	0.25	0.83	0.55	0.83	0.43	0.87	0.52		-0.93	0.46	0.55	0.54	0.33	0.25	-0.89	-0.54	0.05	-0.37	0.37	0.22	-0.22	-0.22
Common Stock	-0.59	-0.86	-0.06	-0.82	-0.37	-0.76	-0.29	-0.87	-0.36	-0.93		-0.27	-0.56	-0.39	-0.12	-0.13	0.88	0.45	0.01	0.45	-0.18	-0.01	0.09	0.09
Short Term Investments	0.52	0.21	0.44	0.38	0.59	0.55	0.56	0.38	0.47	0.46	-0.27		0.48	0.52	0.51	0.28	-0.5	-0.38	0.31	-0.07	0.44	0.55	-0.03	-0.03
Intangible Assets	0.63	0.65	0.5	0.56	0.58	0.6	0.62	0.7	0.67	0.55	-0.56	0.48		0.58	0.29	0.6	-0.69	-0.27	-0.08	-0.14	0.59	-0.03	0.15	0.15
Property Plant Equipment	0.89	0.49	0.76	0.38	0.85	0.56	0.94	0.47	0.95	0.54	-0.39	0.52	0.58		0.21	0.85	-0.58	-0.48	-0.49	-0.09	0.92	0.29	-0.63	-0.63
Long Term Debt	0.43	0.1	0.52	0.41	0.57	0.39	0.29	0.37	0.27	0.33	-0.12	0.51	0.29	0.21		0.03	-0.45	-0.05	0.42	0.11	0.19	0.14	0.21	0.21
Good Will	0.7	0.38	0.72	0.12	0.65	0.28	0.8	0.29	0.92	0.25	-0.13	0.28	0.6	0.85	0.03		-0.32	-0.23	-0.64	-0.01	0.95	0.0	-0.55	-0.55
Treasury Stock	-0.79	-0.81	-0.44	-0.9	-0.67	-0.78	-0.54	-0.93	-0.59	-0.89	0.88	-0.5	-0.69	-0.58	-0.45	-0.32		0.43	0.04	0.29	-0.39	0.02	0.09	0.09
Net Tangible Assets	-0.42	-0.13	-0.25	-0.21	-0.39	-0.23	-0.39	-0.19	-0.42	-0.54	0.45	-0.38	-0.27	-0.48	-0.05	-0.23	0.43		-0.12	0.52	-0.31	-0.43	0.44	0.44
Capital Surpluse	-0.32	-0.34	-0.32	-0.02	-0.21	-0.05	-0.41	-0.11	-0.48	0.05	0.01	0.31	-0.08	-0.49	0.42	-0.64	0.04	-0.12		0.01	-0.55	0.29	0.53	0.53
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.16	-0.29	0.08	-0.26	-0.04	-0.26	-0.02	-0.23	-0.09	-0.37	0.45	-0.07	-0.14	-0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.29	0.52	0.01		-0.01	-0.03	0.12	0.12
Net Invested Capital	0.78	0.42	0.76	0.23	0.76	0.45	0.87	0.36	0.95	0.37	-0.18	0.44	0.59	0.92	0.19	0.95	-0.39	-0.31	-0.55	-0.01		0.23	-0.54	-0.54
Net Working Capital	0.06	-0.11	-0.08	-0.09	0.09	0.27	0.18	-0.09	0.11	0.22	-0.01	0.55	-0.03	0.29	0.14	0.0	0.02	-0.43	0.29	-0.03	0.23		-0.22	-0.22
Capital Stock	-0.46	-0.05	-0.33	0.1	-0.36	-0.02	-0.45	0.06	-0.56	-0.22	0.09	-0.03	0.15	-0.63	0.21	-0.55	0.09	0.44	0.53	0.12	-0.54	-0.22		1.0
Cash And Equivalents	-0.46	-0.05	-0.33	0.1	-0.36	-0.02	-0.45	0.06	-0.56	-0.22	0.09	-0.03	0.15	-0.63	0.21	-0.55	0.09	0.44	0.53	0.12	-0.54	-0.22	1.0

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict American Eagle

In accordance with the company's disclosures, American Eagle Outfitters has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and about the same as Consumer Discretionary (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

American Eagle ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, American Eagle's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to American Eagle's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

American Eagle Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in American Eagle that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of American Eagle's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing American Eagle's value.

		Shares
Victory Capital Management Inc.	2024-09-30	4.4 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc	2024-06-30	4.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	2024-06-30	3.9 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp	2024-06-30	3.2 M
Jupiter Asset Management Limited	2024-09-30	2.6 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc	2024-09-30	2.5 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc	2024-09-30	2.2 M
Qube Research & Technologies	2024-06-30	2.2 M
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	1.9 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	28.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	21.3 M

American Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.15
	Return On Asset	0.0804
	Profit Margin	0.05 %
	Operating Margin	0.08 %
	Current Valuation	4.45 B
	Shares Outstanding	192.06 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	6.00 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	94.00 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	16 M
	Price To Earning	25.74 X
	Price To Book	1.96 X
	Price To Sales	0.61 X
	Revenue	5.26 B
	Gross Profit	1.75 B
	EBITDA	477.02 M
	Net Income	170.04 M
	Cash And Equivalents	170.21 M
	Cash Per Share	0.44 X
	Total Debt	1.19 B
	Debt To Equity	1.25 %
	Current Ratio	1.86 X
	Book Value Per Share	8.82 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	580.71 M
	Short Ratio	4.42 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.25 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	38.27 X
	Target Price	23.5
	Number Of Employees	10.3 K
	Beta	1.5
	Market Capitalization	3.32 B
	Total Asset	3.56 B
	Retained Earnings	2.21 B
	Working Capital	542.18 M
	Current Asset	723.38 M
	Current Liabilities	463.68 M
	Annual Yield	0.03 %
	Five Year Return	3.09 %
	Net Asset	3.56 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.48

About American Eagle Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Eagle Outfitters's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Eagle using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Eagle Outfitters based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with American Eagle

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Eagle position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Eagle will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against American Stock

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0.4	WEYS	Weyco Group	Pair Corr
0.38	BBW	Build A Bear Earnings Call This Week	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Eagle could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Eagle when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Eagle - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Eagle Outfitters to buy it.

The correlation of American Eagle is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Eagle moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Eagle Outfitters moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Eagle can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

When determining whether American Eagle Outfitters offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of American Eagle's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of American Eagle Outfitters Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on American Eagle Outfitters Stock:

How To Invest In American

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Is American Stock a good investment?

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What is American Eagle's Net Worth?

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Largest Specialty Retail Companies

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Largest Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail Companies

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Check out American Eagle Piotroski F Score and American Eagle Valuation analysis.

You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Eagle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Eagle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.568

Dividend Share

0.475

Earnings Share

1.25

Revenue Per Share

27.689

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.075

The market value of American Eagle Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Eagle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Eagle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Eagle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Eagle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Eagle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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American Eagle Outfitters Stock Z Score

American Eagle Outfitters Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

American Z Score Driver Correlations

American Eagle ESG Sustainability

American Eagle Institutional Holders

American Fundamentals

About American Eagle Fundamental Analysis

Pair Trading with American Eagle

Moving against American Stock

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