Alliance Resource Earnings Estimate

ARLP Stock

USD 26.76 0.17 0.63%

The next projected EPS of Alliance Resource is estimated to be 0.51 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.48 to a high of 0.54. Alliance Resource's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.77. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alliance Resource Partners is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.

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Alliance Resource is projected to generate 0.51 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2025. Alliance Resource earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Alliance Resource Partners EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Alliance Resource's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Alliance Resource, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Alliance Resource Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Alliance Resource's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Alliance Resource's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. As of 02/16/2025, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 2.6 B, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.11.

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alliance Resource Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Alliance Resource Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Alliance Resource's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Alliance Resource is estimated to be 0.51 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.48 to a high of 0.54. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Alliance Resource Partners is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.

Last Reported EPS

0.24

0.48

Lowest

Expected EPS

0.51

0.54

Highest

Alliance Resource Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Alliance Resource's value are higher than the current market price of the Alliance Resource stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Alliance Resource is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Alliance Resource's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.

Number of Analysts	Historical Accuracy	Last Reported EPS		Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2025	Current EPS (TTM)
2	78.51%	0.242		0.51	2.77

Alliance Resource Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Alliance Resource analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Alliance Resource's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Alliance Resource's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Alliance Resource Quarterly Gross Profit

590.09 Million

At this time, Alliance Resource's Retained Earnings are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/16/2025, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 12.34, while Earnings Yield is likely to drop 0.09. As of 02/16/2025, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 699.3 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 100.7 M.

Hype

Prediction

Low	Estimated	High
24.91	26.75	28.59

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Real	High
25.25	27.09	28.93

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next	High
24.94	26.79	28.63

Details

2 Analysts

Consensus

Low	Target	High
25.03	27.50	30.53

Details

Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Alliance assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Alliance Resource. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Alliance Resource's stock price in the short term.

Alliance Resource Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Alliance Resource refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Alliance Resource Partners predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Alliance Resource, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Alliance Resource Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Alliance Resource, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Alliance Resource should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Alliance Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alliance Resource's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2025-01-27	2024-12-31	0.78	0.242	-0.538	68
2024-10-28	2024-09-30	0.86	0.66	-0.2	23
2024-07-29	2024-06-30	0.93	0.77	-0.16	17
2024-04-29	2024-03-31	0.93	1.21	0.28	30
2024-01-29	2023-12-31	1.14	0.88	-0.26	22
2023-10-27	2023-09-30	1.28	1.18	-0.1	7
2023-07-31	2023-06-30	1.29	1.33	0.04	3
2023-05-02	2023-03-31	1.26	1.45	0.19	15
2023-01-30	2022-12-31	1.42	1.63	0.21	14
2022-10-31	2022-09-30	1.54	1.25	-0.29	18
2022-08-01	2022-06-30	0.96	1.23	0.27	28
2022-05-02	2022-03-31	0.57	0.28	-0.29	50
2022-01-31	2021-12-31	0.69	0.41	-0.28	40
2021-10-25	2021-09-30	0.36	0.49	0.13	36
2021-07-26	2021-06-30	0.21	0.34	0.13	61
2021-04-26	2021-03-31	0.24	0.19	-0.05	20
2021-02-01	2020-12-31	0.08	0.27	0.19	237
2020-10-26	2020-09-30	-0.05	0.21	0.26	520
2020-07-27	2020-06-30	-0.43	-0.37	0.06	13
2020-05-08	2020-03-31	0.13	0.1	-0.03	23
2020-01-27	2019-12-31	0.2	0.2	0.0	0
2019-10-28	2019-09-30	0.48	0.42	-0.06	12
2019-07-26	2019-06-30	0.67	0.44	-0.23	34
2019-04-29	2019-03-31	0.7	0.79	0.09	12
2019-01-28	2018-12-31	0.75	0.63	-0.12	16
2018-10-29	2018-09-30	0.75	0.55	-0.2	26
2018-07-30	2018-06-30	0.64	0.64	0.0	0
2018-04-30	2018-03-31	0.56	0.56	0.0	0
2018-01-29	2017-12-31	0.57	0.55	-0.02	3
2017-10-30	2017-09-30	0.52	0.52	0.0	0
2017-07-31	2017-06-30	0.78	0.93	0.15	19
2017-05-01	2017-03-31	0.68	1.1	0.42	61
2017-01-30	2016-12-31	0.84	1.3	0.46	54
2016-10-28	2016-09-30	0.73	0.91	0.18	24
2016-07-26	2016-06-30	0.55	0.82	0.27	49
2016-04-26	2016-03-31	0.44	0.36	-0.08	18
2016-01-26	2015-12-31	0.76	0.72	-0.04	5
2015-10-27	2015-09-30	0.88	0.75	-0.13	14
2015-07-28	2015-06-30	0.89	0.76	-0.13	14
2015-04-28	2015-03-31	1	0.92	-0.08	8
2015-01-28	2014-12-31	1.18	1.18	0.0	0
2014-10-27	2014-09-30	1.07	1.13	0.06	5
2014-07-28	2014-06-30	1	1.37	0.37	37
2014-04-28	2014-03-31	0.86	1.1	0.24	27
2014-01-28	2013-12-31	0.78	0.93	0.15	19
2013-10-28	2013-09-30	0.86	0.75	-0.11	12
2013-07-26	2013-06-30	0.79	0.98	0.19	24
2013-04-26	2013-03-31	0.69	0.98	0.29	42
2013-01-29	2012-12-31	0.66	0.94	0.28	42
2012-10-26	2012-09-30	0.88	0.71	-0.17	19
2012-07-27	2012-06-30	0.81	0.92	0.11	13
2012-04-30	2012-03-31	0.8	0.77	-0.03	3
2012-01-27	2011-12-31	0.89	0.97	0.08	8
2011-10-28	2011-09-30	0.94	1.08	0.14	14
2011-07-27	2011-06-30	0.97	1.02	0.05	5
2011-04-26	2011-03-31	0.92	1.0	0.08	8
2011-01-28	2010-12-31	0.83	0.91	0.08	9
2010-10-27	2010-09-30	0.85	0.74	-0.11	12
2010-07-26	2010-06-30	0.69	0.91	0.22	31
2010-04-26	2010-03-31	0.49	0.78	0.29	59
2010-01-27	2009-12-31	0.33	0.35	0.02	6
2009-10-28	2009-09-30	0.32	0.28	-0.04	12
2009-07-28	2009-06-30	0.6	0.36	-0.24	40
2009-04-27	2009-03-31	0.51	0.78	0.27	52
2009-01-28	2008-12-31	0.26	0.16	-0.1	38
2008-10-27	2008-09-30	0.3	0.24	-0.06	20
2008-07-28	2008-06-30	0.36	0.34	-0.02	5
2008-04-28	2008-03-31	0.33	0.47	0.14	42
2008-01-31	2007-12-31	0.41	0.45	0.04	9
2007-10-29	2007-09-30	0.39	0.42	0.03	7
2007-07-30	2007-06-30	0.46	0.52	0.06	13
2007-04-30	2007-03-31	0.47	0.52	0.05	10
2007-01-29	2006-12-31	0.43	0.52	0.09	20
2006-10-26	2006-09-30	0.44	0.44	0.0	0
2006-07-31	2006-06-30	0.5	0.47	-0.03	6
2006-04-24	2006-03-31	0.48	0.59	0.11	22
2006-01-30	2005-12-31	0.4	0.56	0.16	40
2005-10-26	2005-09-30	0.42	0.43	0.01	2
2005-07-27	2005-06-30	0.39	0.51	0.12	30
2005-04-21	2005-03-31	0.31	0.51	0.2	64
2005-01-27	2004-12-31	0.27	0.12	-0.15	55
2004-10-22	2004-09-30	0.24	0.33	0.09	37
2004-07-22	2004-06-30	0.23	0.31	0.08	34
2004-04-23	2004-03-31	0.14	0.24	0.1	71
2004-01-26	2003-12-31	0.12	0.21	0.09	75
2003-10-24	2003-09-30	0.11	0.14	0.03	27
2003-07-25	2003-06-30	0.11	0.11	0.0	0
2003-04-25	2003-03-31	0.12	0.2	0.08	66
2003-01-28	2002-12-31	0.07	0.09	0.02	28
2002-10-23	2002-09-30	0.11	0.08	-0.03	27
2002-07-25	2002-06-30	0.11	0.22	0.11	100
2002-04-29	2002-03-31	0.11	0.17	0.06	54
2002-01-29	2001-12-31	0.05	0.05	0.0	0
2001-10-25	2001-09-30	0.13	0.12	-0.01	7
2001-07-31	2001-06-30	0.06	0.1231	0.0631	105
2001-04-26	2001-03-31	0.03	0.07	0.04	133
2001-01-24	2000-12-31	0.03	0.02	-0.01	33
2000-10-26	2000-09-30	0.03	0.03	0.0	0
2000-07-24	2000-06-30	0.04	0.07	0.03	75
2000-04-24	2000-03-31	0.04	0.04	0.0	0
2000-01-26	1999-12-31	0.05	0.05	0.0	0
1999-11-01	1999-09-30	0.09	0.1	0.01	11

About Alliance Resource Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Alliance Resource earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Alliance Resource estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Alliance Resource fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'

Please read more on our stock advisor page.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Retained Earnings	664 M	697.2 M
Earnings Yield	0.11	0.09
Price Earnings Ratio	9.32	12.34
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio	(0.23)	(0.24)

Pair Trading with Alliance Resource

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alliance Resource position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alliance Resource will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Alliance Stock

0.73

NACCO Industries

Pair Corr

Moving against Alliance Stock

0.47

Empire Petroleum Corp

Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alliance Resource could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alliance Resource when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alliance Resource - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alliance Resource Partners to buy it.

The correlation of Alliance Resource is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alliance Resource moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alliance Resource moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alliance Resource can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

Additional Tools for Alliance Stock Analysis

When running Alliance Resource's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Resource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Resource is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Resource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Resource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Resource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Resource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Alliance Resource Earnings Estimate

Alliance Resource Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

Alliance Resource Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Alliance Resource Earnings Projection Consensus

Alliance Resource Earnings History

Alliance Resource Quarterly Gross Profit

590.09 Million

Alliance Resource Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Alliance Resource Estimated Months Earnings per Share

Alliance Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

About Alliance Resource Earnings Estimate

Pair Trading with Alliance Resource

Moving together with Alliance Stock

Moving against Alliance Stock

Additional Tools for Alliance Stock Analysis

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