Dymatic Chemicals Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

002054 Stock   7.61  0.69  9.97%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dymatic Chemicals on the next trading day is expected to be 6.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.25. Dymatic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dymatic Chemicals stock prices and determine the direction of Dymatic Chemicals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dymatic Chemicals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Dymatic Chemicals' Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 1.8 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 144.5 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Dymatic Chemicals price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Dymatic Chemicals Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dymatic Chemicals on the next trading day is expected to be 6.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dymatic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dymatic Chemicals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dymatic Chemicals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dymatic ChemicalsDymatic Chemicals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dymatic Chemicals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dymatic Chemicals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dymatic Chemicals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.04 and 9.36, respectively. We have considered Dymatic Chemicals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.61
6.20
Expected Value
9.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dymatic Chemicals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dymatic Chemicals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9253
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.246
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0446
SAESum of the absolute errors15.2516
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Dymatic Chemicals historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Dymatic Chemicals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dymatic Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.487.6110.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.647.7710.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dymatic Chemicals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dymatic Chemicals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dymatic Chemicals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dymatic Chemicals.

Other Forecasting Options for Dymatic Chemicals

For every potential investor in Dymatic, whether a beginner or expert, Dymatic Chemicals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dymatic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dymatic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dymatic Chemicals' price trends.

Dymatic Chemicals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dymatic Chemicals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dymatic Chemicals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dymatic Chemicals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dymatic Chemicals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dymatic Chemicals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dymatic Chemicals' current price.

Dymatic Chemicals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dymatic Chemicals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dymatic Chemicals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dymatic Chemicals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dymatic Chemicals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dymatic Chemicals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dymatic Chemicals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dymatic Chemicals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dymatic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Dymatic Stock

Dymatic Chemicals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dymatic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dymatic with respect to the benefits of owning Dymatic Chemicals security.