Castech Stock Forward View

002222 Stock   71.11  2.06  2.82%   
Castech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Castech stock prices and determine the direction of Castech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Castech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Castech's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Castech, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Castech's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Castech, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Castech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Castech from the perspective of Castech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Castech on the next trading day is expected to be 75.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.09.

Castech after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 71.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Castech Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Castech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Castech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Castech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Castech is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Castech value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Castech Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Castech on the next trading day is expected to be 75.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49, mean absolute percentage error of 9.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Castech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Castech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Castech Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Castech  Castech Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Castech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Castech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3784
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.4932
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0404
SAESum of the absolute errors152.0881
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Castech. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Castech. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Castech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Castech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.4071.1174.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.7155.4278.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-21.1571.1975.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Castech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Castech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Castech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Castech.

Castech After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Castech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Castech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Castech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Castech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Castech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Castech's historical news coverage. Castech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.40 and 74.82, respectively. We have considered Castech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
71.11
71.11
After-hype Price
74.82
Upside
Castech is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Castech is based on 3 months time horizon.

Castech Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Castech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Castech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Castech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.63 
3.71
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
71.11
71.11
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Castech Hype Timeline

Castech is presently traded for 71.11on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Castech is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Castech is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.11. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of December 2025. Castech had 1.1:1 split on the 28th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Castech Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Castech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Castech's future price movements. Getting to know how Castech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Castech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Castech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Castech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Castech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Castech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Castech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Castech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Castech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Castech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Castech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Castech Risk Indicators

The analysis of Castech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Castech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting castech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Castech

The number of cover stories for Castech depends on current market conditions and Castech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Castech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Castech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Castech Short Properties

Castech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Castech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Castech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Castech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Castech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding470.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments321.2 M

Other Information on Investing in Castech Stock

Castech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Castech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Castech with respect to the benefits of owning Castech security.