Castech (China) Performance

002222 Stock   71.11  2.06  2.82%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Castech holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Castech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Castech is likely to outperform the market. Please check Castech's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Castech's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Castech are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Castech sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow312.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-201.7 M
  

Castech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,340  in Castech on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,771  from holding Castech or generate 33.16% return on investment over 90 days. Castech is generating 0.5707% of daily returns and assumes 3.716% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Castech, and 89% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Castech is expected to generate 4.9 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.9 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Castech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Castech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 71.11 90 days 71.11 
about 16.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Castech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.02 (This Castech probability density function shows the probability of Castech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Castech has a beta of -0.4. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Castech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Castech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Castech has an alpha of 0.9144, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Castech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Castech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Castech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.3971.1174.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.7055.4278.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
71.3775.0978.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-21.1571.1975.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Castech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Castech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Castech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Castech.

Castech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Castech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Castech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Castech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Castech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.91
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
9.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Castech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Castech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Castech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Castech is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Castech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Castech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Castech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Castech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Castech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding470.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments321.2 M

Castech Fundamentals Growth

Castech Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Castech, and Castech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Castech Stock performance.

About Castech Performance

By analyzing Castech's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Castech's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Castech has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Castech has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Castech performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Castech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Castech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Castech is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Castech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Evaluating Castech's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Castech's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Castech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Castech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Castech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Castech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Castech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Castech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Castech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Castech's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Castech's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Castech Stock analysis

When running Castech's price analysis, check to measure Castech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Castech is operating at the current time. Most of Castech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Castech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Castech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Castech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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