Kuang Chi Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 002625 Stock | 38.46 1.59 3.97% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kuang Chi Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 38.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.05. Kuang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kuang Chi stock prices and determine the direction of Kuang Chi Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kuang Chi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Kuang |
Kuang Chi Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kuang Chi Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 38.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37, mean absolute percentage error of 3.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kuang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kuang Chi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kuang Chi Stock Forecast Pattern
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Kuang Chi Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kuang Chi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kuang Chi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.10 and 43.31, respectively. We have considered Kuang Chi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kuang Chi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kuang Chi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0238 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3736 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0417 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 81.0452 |
Predictive Modules for Kuang Chi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kuang Chi Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Kuang Chi
For every potential investor in Kuang, whether a beginner or expert, Kuang Chi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kuang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kuang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kuang Chi's price trends.Kuang Chi Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kuang Chi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kuang Chi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kuang Chi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kuang Chi Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kuang Chi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kuang Chi's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kuang Chi Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kuang Chi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kuang Chi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kuang Chi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kuang Chi Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kuang Chi Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kuang Chi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kuang Chi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kuang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.83 | |||
| Variance | 23.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Kuang Stock
Kuang Chi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kuang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kuang with respect to the benefits of owning Kuang Chi security.