Kyung In Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

012610 Stock   2,840  35.00  1.25%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kyung In Synthetic Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2,835 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,135. Kyung Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kyung In stock prices and determine the direction of Kyung In Synthetic Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kyung In's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Kyung In - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Kyung In prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Kyung In price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Kyung In Synthetic.

Kyung In Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kyung In Synthetic Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2,835 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2,115, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,135.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kyung Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kyung In's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kyung In Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kyung InKyung In Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kyung In Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kyung In's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kyung In's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,833 and 2,836, respectively. We have considered Kyung In's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,840
2,835
Expected Value
2,836
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kyung In stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kyung In stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -6.3767
MADMean absolute deviation36.1942
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.012
SAESum of the absolute errors2135.4563
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Kyung In observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Kyung In Synthetic Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Kyung In

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kyung In Synthetic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,8042,8052,806
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7002,7023,086
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,6312,8112,991
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kyung In

For every potential investor in Kyung, whether a beginner or expert, Kyung In's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kyung Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kyung. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kyung In's price trends.

Kyung In Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kyung In stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kyung In could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kyung In by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kyung In Synthetic Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kyung In's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kyung In's current price.

Kyung In Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kyung In stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kyung In shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kyung In stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kyung In Synthetic Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kyung In Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kyung In's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kyung In's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kyung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Kyung In

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Kyung In position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Kyung In will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Kyung Stock

  0.69293780 AptaBio TherapeuticsPairCorr
  0.95215480 Daewoo SBI SPACPairCorr
  0.89302430 InnometryPairCorr

Moving against Kyung Stock

  0.58203650 Dream Security coPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Kyung In could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Kyung In when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Kyung In - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Kyung In Synthetic Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Kyung In is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Kyung In moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Kyung In Synthetic moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Kyung In can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Kyung Stock

Kyung In financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kyung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kyung with respect to the benefits of owning Kyung In security.