CBI Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

013720 Stock  KRW 925.00  3.00  0.32%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CBI Co on the next trading day is expected to be 982.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 34.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,146. CBI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CBI stock prices and determine the direction of CBI Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CBI's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through CBI price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

CBI Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CBI Co on the next trading day is expected to be 982.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 34.62, mean absolute percentage error of 1,646, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,146.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CBI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CBI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CBI Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CBICBI Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CBI Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CBI's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CBI's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 980.73 and 984.23, respectively. We have considered CBI's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
925.00
980.73
Downside
982.48
Expected Value
984.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CBI stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CBI stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.3542
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation34.6198
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0318
SAESum of the absolute errors2146.4247
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as CBI Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for CBI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CBI Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
923.25925.00926.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
840.98842.731,018
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
885.88977.421,069
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CBI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CBI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CBI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CBI Co.

Other Forecasting Options for CBI

For every potential investor in CBI, whether a beginner or expert, CBI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CBI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CBI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CBI's price trends.

CBI Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CBI stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CBI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CBI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CBI Co Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CBI's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CBI's current price.

CBI Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CBI stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CBI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CBI stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CBI Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CBI Risk Indicators

The analysis of CBI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CBI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cbi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with CBI

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CBI position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CBI will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with CBI Stock

  0.83126640 Hwashin PrecisionPairCorr

Moving against CBI Stock

  0.66111710 Namhwa IndustrialPairCorr
  0.55329180 Hyundai Heavy IndustriesPairCorr
  0.46008830 Daedong GearPairCorr
  0.4182360 Cube EntertainmentPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CBI could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CBI when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CBI - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CBI Co to buy it.
The correlation of CBI is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CBI moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CBI Co moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CBI can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in CBI Stock

CBI financial ratios help investors to determine whether CBI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CBI with respect to the benefits of owning CBI security.