Hankuk Steel Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

025550 Stock  KRW 2,995  35.00  1.16%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hankuk Steel Wire on the next trading day is expected to be 2,837 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,622. Hankuk Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hankuk Steel stock prices and determine the direction of Hankuk Steel Wire's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hankuk Steel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Hankuk Steel price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Hankuk Steel Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hankuk Steel Wire on the next trading day is expected to be 2,837 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.38, mean absolute percentage error of 5,150, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,622.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hankuk Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hankuk Steel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hankuk Steel Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hankuk SteelHankuk Steel Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hankuk Steel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hankuk Steel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hankuk Steel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,836 and 2,839, respectively. We have considered Hankuk Steel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,995
2,837
Expected Value
2,839
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hankuk Steel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hankuk Steel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.6572
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation59.3799
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0204
SAESum of the absolute errors3622.1735
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Hankuk Steel Wire historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Hankuk Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hankuk Steel Wire. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9942,9952,996
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,9612,9623,294
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,8022,9583,114
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hankuk Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hankuk Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hankuk Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hankuk Steel Wire.

Other Forecasting Options for Hankuk Steel

For every potential investor in Hankuk, whether a beginner or expert, Hankuk Steel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hankuk Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hankuk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hankuk Steel's price trends.

Hankuk Steel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hankuk Steel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hankuk Steel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hankuk Steel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hankuk Steel Wire Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hankuk Steel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hankuk Steel's current price.

Hankuk Steel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hankuk Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hankuk Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hankuk Steel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hankuk Steel Wire entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hankuk Steel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hankuk Steel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hankuk Steel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hankuk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hankuk Steel

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hankuk Steel position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hankuk Steel will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hankuk Stock

  0.68009830 Hanwha SolutionsPairCorr

Moving against Hankuk Stock

  0.42105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hankuk Steel could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hankuk Steel when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hankuk Steel - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hankuk Steel Wire to buy it.
The correlation of Hankuk Steel is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hankuk Steel moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hankuk Steel Wire moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hankuk Steel can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Hankuk Stock

Hankuk Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hankuk Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hankuk with respect to the benefits of owning Hankuk Steel security.