Samsung Life Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

032830 Stock   106,000  500.00  0.47%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Samsung Life on the next trading day is expected to be 109,364 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,769 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109,654. Samsung Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Samsung Life stock prices and determine the direction of Samsung Life's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Samsung Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Samsung Life is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Samsung Life value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Samsung Life Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Samsung Life on the next trading day is expected to be 109,364 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,769, mean absolute percentage error of 5,299,894, and the sum of the absolute errors of 109,654.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Samsung Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Samsung Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Samsung Life Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Samsung LifeSamsung Life Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Samsung Life Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Samsung Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Samsung Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 109,361 and 109,366, respectively. We have considered Samsung Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
106,000
109,361
Downside
109,364
Expected Value
109,366
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Samsung Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Samsung Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria135.4316
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1768.6134
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0179
SAESum of the absolute errors109654.0332
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Samsung Life. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Samsung Life. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Samsung Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samsung Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106,498106,500106,502
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88,39388,395117,150
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
95,387103,125110,863
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Samsung Life. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Samsung Life's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Samsung Life's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Samsung Life.

Other Forecasting Options for Samsung Life

For every potential investor in Samsung, whether a beginner or expert, Samsung Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Samsung Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Samsung. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Samsung Life's price trends.

Samsung Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Samsung Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Samsung Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Samsung Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Samsung Life Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Samsung Life's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Samsung Life's current price.

Samsung Life Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Samsung Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Samsung Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Samsung Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Samsung Life entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Samsung Life Risk Indicators

The analysis of Samsung Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Samsung Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting samsung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Samsung Life

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Samsung Life position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Samsung Life will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Samsung Stock

  0.72105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr

Moving against Samsung Stock

  0.57005930 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.56005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.56005380 Hyundai MotorPairCorr
  0.33005387 Hyundai MotorPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Samsung Life could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Samsung Life when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Samsung Life - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Samsung Life to buy it.
The correlation of Samsung Life is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Samsung Life moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Samsung Life moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Samsung Life can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Samsung Stock

Samsung Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samsung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samsung with respect to the benefits of owning Samsung Life security.