Korea Gas Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

036460 Stock   46,350  100.00  0.22%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Korea Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 46,088 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,452 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82,788. Korea Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Korea Gas stock prices and determine the direction of Korea Gas's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Korea Gas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Korea Gas is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Korea Gas 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Korea Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 46,088 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,452, mean absolute percentage error of 3,898,895, and the sum of the absolute errors of 82,788.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Korea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Korea Gas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Korea Gas Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Korea GasKorea Gas Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Korea Gas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Korea Gas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Korea Gas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46,084 and 46,091, respectively. We have considered Korea Gas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
46,350
46,084
Downside
46,088
Expected Value
46,091
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Korea Gas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Korea Gas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.9352
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 183.5526
MADMean absolute deviation1452.4123
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0324
SAESum of the absolute errors82787.5
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Korea Gas. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Korea Gas and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Korea Gas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46,34746,35046,353
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38,58438,58850,985
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37,59342,97548,357
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Gas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Gas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Gas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Gas.

Other Forecasting Options for Korea Gas

For every potential investor in Korea, whether a beginner or expert, Korea Gas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Korea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Korea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Korea Gas' price trends.

Korea Gas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Korea Gas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Korea Gas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Korea Gas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Korea Gas Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Korea Gas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Korea Gas' current price.

Korea Gas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Korea Gas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Korea Gas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Korea Gas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Korea Gas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Korea Gas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Korea Gas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Korea Gas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting korea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Korea Gas

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Korea Gas position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Korea Gas will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Korea Stock

  0.75005930 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.77005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.64005380 Hyundai MotorPairCorr

Moving against Korea Stock

  0.58105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
  0.52024110 Industrial BankPairCorr
  0.51000660 SK HynixPairCorr
  0.34373220 LG Energy SolutionPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Korea Gas could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Korea Gas when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Korea Gas - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Korea Gas to buy it.
The correlation of Korea Gas is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Korea Gas moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Korea Gas moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Korea Gas can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Korea Stock

Korea Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Gas security.