Soulbrain Holdings Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

036830 Stock  KRW 39,500  600.00  1.50%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Soulbrain Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33,943 with a mean absolute deviation of 2,745 and the sum of the absolute errors of 167,448. Soulbrain Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Soulbrain Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Soulbrain Holdings Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Soulbrain Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Soulbrain Holdings polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Soulbrain Holdings Co as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Soulbrain Holdings Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Soulbrain Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33,943 with a mean absolute deviation of 2,745, mean absolute percentage error of 10,527,462, and the sum of the absolute errors of 167,448.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Soulbrain Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Soulbrain Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Soulbrain Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Soulbrain HoldingsSoulbrain Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Soulbrain Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Soulbrain Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Soulbrain Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33,939 and 33,946, respectively. We have considered Soulbrain Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39,500
33,939
Downside
33,943
Expected Value
33,946
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Soulbrain Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Soulbrain Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria134.28
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2745.0563
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0568
SAESum of the absolute errors167448.4318
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Soulbrain Holdings historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Soulbrain Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soulbrain Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39,49739,50039,503
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36,70536,70843,450
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32,73443,26953,804
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Soulbrain Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Soulbrain Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Soulbrain Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Soulbrain Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Soulbrain Holdings

For every potential investor in Soulbrain, whether a beginner or expert, Soulbrain Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Soulbrain Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Soulbrain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Soulbrain Holdings' price trends.

Soulbrain Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Soulbrain Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Soulbrain Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Soulbrain Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Soulbrain Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Soulbrain Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Soulbrain Holdings' current price.

Soulbrain Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Soulbrain Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Soulbrain Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Soulbrain Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Soulbrain Holdings Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Soulbrain Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Soulbrain Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Soulbrain Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting soulbrain stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Soulbrain Holdings

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Soulbrain Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Soulbrain Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Soulbrain Stock

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  0.89005490 POSCO HoldingsPairCorr
  0.85009830 Hanwha SolutionsPairCorr
  0.73011170 Lotte Chemical CorpPairCorr
  0.91004020 Hyundai SteelPairCorr

Moving against Soulbrain Stock

  0.59001430 SeAH BesteePairCorr
  0.49024110 Industrial BankPairCorr
  0.43105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Soulbrain Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Soulbrain Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Soulbrain Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Soulbrain Holdings Co to buy it.
The correlation of Soulbrain Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Soulbrain Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Soulbrain Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Soulbrain Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Soulbrain Stock

Soulbrain Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Soulbrain Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Soulbrain with respect to the benefits of owning Soulbrain Holdings security.