INFINITT Healthcare Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

071200 Stock  KRW 4,480  125.00  2.71%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of INFINITT Healthcare Co on the next trading day is expected to be 4,480 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,600. INFINITT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast INFINITT Healthcare stock prices and determine the direction of INFINITT Healthcare Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of INFINITT Healthcare's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
INFINITT Healthcare simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for INFINITT Healthcare Co are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as INFINITT Healthcare prices get older.

INFINITT Healthcare Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of INFINITT Healthcare Co on the next trading day is expected to be 4,480 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.02, mean absolute percentage error of 5,660, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,600.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict INFINITT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that INFINITT Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

INFINITT Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest INFINITT HealthcareINFINITT Healthcare Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

INFINITT Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting INFINITT Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. INFINITT Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4,478 and 4,482, respectively. We have considered INFINITT Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4,480
4,480
Expected Value
4,482
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of INFINITT Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent INFINITT Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.7517
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.8197
MADMean absolute deviation59.0164
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0135
SAESum of the absolute errors3600.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting INFINITT Healthcare Co forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent INFINITT Healthcare observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for INFINITT Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INFINITT Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,4784,4804,482
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0724,0734,928
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
4,4434,5684,694
Details

Other Forecasting Options for INFINITT Healthcare

For every potential investor in INFINITT, whether a beginner or expert, INFINITT Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. INFINITT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in INFINITT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying INFINITT Healthcare's price trends.

INFINITT Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with INFINITT Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of INFINITT Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing INFINITT Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

INFINITT Healthcare Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of INFINITT Healthcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of INFINITT Healthcare's current price.

INFINITT Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how INFINITT Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading INFINITT Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying INFINITT Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify INFINITT Healthcare Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

INFINITT Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of INFINITT Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in INFINITT Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting infinitt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with INFINITT Healthcare

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if INFINITT Healthcare position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in INFINITT Healthcare will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to INFINITT Healthcare could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace INFINITT Healthcare when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back INFINITT Healthcare - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling INFINITT Healthcare Co to buy it.
The correlation of INFINITT Healthcare is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as INFINITT Healthcare moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if INFINITT Healthcare moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for INFINITT Healthcare can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in INFINITT Stock

INFINITT Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether INFINITT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INFINITT with respect to the benefits of owning INFINITT Healthcare security.