Arcticzymes Technologies Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

0DRV Stock   13.20  0.20  1.49%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arcticzymes Technologies ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 13.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.56. Arcticzymes Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Arcticzymes Technologies' Deferred Long Term Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is likely to gain to about 325.1 M in 2024, whereas Retained Earnings are likely to drop (32.9 M) in 2024.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Arcticzymes Technologies works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Arcticzymes Technologies Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Arcticzymes Technologies ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 13.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arcticzymes Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arcticzymes Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Arcticzymes Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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Arcticzymes Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Arcticzymes Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Arcticzymes Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.31 and 16.02, respectively. We have considered Arcticzymes Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.20
13.17
Expected Value
16.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arcticzymes Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arcticzymes Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0467
MADMean absolute deviation0.2806
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0181
SAESum of the absolute errors16.5552
When Arcticzymes Technologies ASA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Arcticzymes Technologies ASA trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Arcticzymes Technologies observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Arcticzymes Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arcticzymes Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3513.2016.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2612.1114.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.1314.6518.17
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Arcticzymes Technologies

For every potential investor in Arcticzymes, whether a beginner or expert, Arcticzymes Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Arcticzymes Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Arcticzymes. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Arcticzymes Technologies' price trends.

Arcticzymes Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Arcticzymes Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Arcticzymes Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arcticzymes Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Arcticzymes Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Arcticzymes Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Arcticzymes Technologies' current price.

Arcticzymes Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arcticzymes Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arcticzymes Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Arcticzymes Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Arcticzymes Technologies ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Arcticzymes Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Arcticzymes Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arcticzymes Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting arcticzymes stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Arcticzymes Stock Analysis

When running Arcticzymes Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Arcticzymes Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcticzymes Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Arcticzymes Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcticzymes Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcticzymes Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcticzymes Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.