Align Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

0HCK Stock   170.98  1.10  0.64%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Align Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 167.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.81. Align Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the value of rsi of Align Technology's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Align Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Align Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Align Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Align Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Align Technology's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.50)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.018
Using Align Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Align Technology from the perspective of Align Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Align Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 167.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.81.

Align Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 170.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Align Technology to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Align Stock please use our How to Invest in Align Technology guide.At this time, Align Technology's Good Will is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Inventory is likely to gain to about 307.1 M in 2026, whereas Net Debt is likely to drop (873.8 M) in 2026.

Align Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Align price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Align using various technical indicators. When you analyze Align charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Align Technology price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Align Technology Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Align Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 167.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.78, mean absolute percentage error of 19.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Align Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Align Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Align Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Align TechnologyAlign Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Align Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Align Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Align Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 165.64 and 169.08, respectively. We have considered Align Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
170.98
165.64
Downside
167.36
Expected Value
169.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Align Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Align Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria60.4253
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.779
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0234
SAESum of the absolute errors105.8123
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Align Technology historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Align Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Align Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
169.26170.98172.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.88195.80197.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Align Technology

For every potential investor in Align, whether a beginner or expert, Align Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Align Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Align. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Align Technology's price trends.

Align Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Align Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Align Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Align Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Align Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Align Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Align Technology's current price.

Align Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Align Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Align Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Align Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Align Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Align Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Align Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Align Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting align stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Align Stock Analysis

When running Align Technology's price analysis, check to measure Align Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Align Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Align Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Align Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Align Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Align Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.