Chorokbaem Healthcare Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

118000 Stock   328.00  4.00  1.23%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chorokbaem Healthcare Co on the next trading day is expected to be 322.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 357.60. Chorokbaem Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Chorokbaem Healthcare stock prices and determine the direction of Chorokbaem Healthcare Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Chorokbaem Healthcare's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Chorokbaem Healthcare is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Chorokbaem Healthcare Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Chorokbaem Healthcare Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chorokbaem Healthcare Co on the next trading day is expected to be 322.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.77, mean absolute percentage error of 54.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 357.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chorokbaem Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chorokbaem Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chorokbaem Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Chorokbaem HealthcareChorokbaem Healthcare Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Chorokbaem Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chorokbaem Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chorokbaem Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 321.09 and 324.33, respectively. We have considered Chorokbaem Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
328.00
321.09
Downside
322.71
Expected Value
324.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chorokbaem Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chorokbaem Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.9407
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.7678
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors357.602
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Chorokbaem Healthcare Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Chorokbaem Healthcare. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Chorokbaem Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chorokbaem Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
326.39328.00329.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
254.23255.84360.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
304.44326.42348.39
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Chorokbaem Healthcare

For every potential investor in Chorokbaem, whether a beginner or expert, Chorokbaem Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chorokbaem Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chorokbaem. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chorokbaem Healthcare's price trends.

Chorokbaem Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chorokbaem Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chorokbaem Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chorokbaem Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chorokbaem Healthcare Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chorokbaem Healthcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chorokbaem Healthcare's current price.

Chorokbaem Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chorokbaem Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chorokbaem Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chorokbaem Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chorokbaem Healthcare Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chorokbaem Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chorokbaem Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chorokbaem Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chorokbaem stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Chorokbaem Healthcare

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Chorokbaem Healthcare position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chorokbaem Healthcare will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Chorokbaem Stock

  0.65302440 SK BiosciencePairCorr
  0.92054180 MEDICOXPairCorr

Moving against Chorokbaem Stock

  0.73088130 Dong A Eltek SplitPairCorr
  0.7317530 CarriesoftPairCorr
  0.33058400 Korea New NetworkPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Chorokbaem Healthcare could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Chorokbaem Healthcare when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Chorokbaem Healthcare - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Chorokbaem Healthcare Co to buy it.
The correlation of Chorokbaem Healthcare is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Chorokbaem Healthcare moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Chorokbaem Healthcare moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Chorokbaem Healthcare can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Chorokbaem Stock

Chorokbaem Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chorokbaem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chorokbaem with respect to the benefits of owning Chorokbaem Healthcare security.