Lily Textile Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| 1443 Stock | 33.10 0.20 0.61% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lily Textile Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.14. Lily Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Lily |
Lily Textile Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lily Textile Co on the next trading day is expected to be 33.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lily Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lily Textile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lily Textile Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lily Textile | Lily Textile Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lily Textile Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lily Textile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lily Textile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.65 and 34.51, respectively. We have considered Lily Textile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lily Textile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lily Textile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0667 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3752 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0113 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.1356 |
Predictive Modules for Lily Textile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lily Textile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Lily Textile
For every potential investor in Lily, whether a beginner or expert, Lily Textile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lily Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lily. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lily Textile's price trends.Lily Textile Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lily Textile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lily Textile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lily Textile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lily Textile Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lily Textile's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lily Textile's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lily Textile Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lily Textile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lily Textile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lily Textile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lily Textile Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lily Textile Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lily Textile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lily Textile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lily stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Lily Stock Analysis
When running Lily Textile's price analysis, check to measure Lily Textile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lily Textile is operating at the current time. Most of Lily Textile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lily Textile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lily Textile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lily Textile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.