Chia Her Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

1449 Stock  TWD 24.00  0.25  1.05%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Chia Her Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 25.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.72. Chia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Chia Her price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Chia Her Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Chia Her Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 25.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54, mean absolute percentage error of 3.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chia Her's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chia Her Stock Forecast Pattern

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Chia Her Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chia Her's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chia Her's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.42 and 28.60, respectively. We have considered Chia Her's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.00
25.01
Expected Value
28.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chia Her stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chia Her stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.4405
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5363
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0779
SAESum of the absolute errors93.7165
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Chia Her Industrial historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Chia Her

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chia Her Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.1623.7527.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6719.2626.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.6922.2128.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Chia Her

For every potential investor in Chia, whether a beginner or expert, Chia Her's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chia Her's price trends.

Chia Her Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chia Her stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chia Her could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chia Her by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chia Her Industrial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chia Her's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chia Her's current price.

Chia Her Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chia Her stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chia Her shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chia Her stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chia Her Industrial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chia Her Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chia Her's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chia Her's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Chia Stock Analysis

When running Chia Her's price analysis, check to measure Chia Her's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chia Her is operating at the current time. Most of Chia Her's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chia Her's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chia Her's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chia Her to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.