Lion Chemtech Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

171120 Stock  KRW 2,435  45.00  1.81%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Lion Chemtech Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2,447 with a mean absolute deviation of 78.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,791. Lion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lion Chemtech stock prices and determine the direction of Lion Chemtech Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lion Chemtech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Lion Chemtech polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Lion Chemtech Co as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Lion Chemtech Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Lion Chemtech Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2,447 with a mean absolute deviation of 78.54, mean absolute percentage error of 9,354, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,791.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lion Chemtech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lion Chemtech Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lion ChemtechLion Chemtech Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lion Chemtech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lion Chemtech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lion Chemtech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,445 and 2,450, respectively. We have considered Lion Chemtech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,435
2,447
Expected Value
2,450
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lion Chemtech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lion Chemtech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.2541
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation78.5411
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0339
SAESum of the absolute errors4791.0087
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Lion Chemtech historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Lion Chemtech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lion Chemtech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,4322,4352,438
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0482,0512,678
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,3522,5982,844
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lion Chemtech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lion Chemtech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lion Chemtech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lion Chemtech.

Other Forecasting Options for Lion Chemtech

For every potential investor in Lion, whether a beginner or expert, Lion Chemtech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lion Chemtech's price trends.

Lion Chemtech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lion Chemtech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lion Chemtech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lion Chemtech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lion Chemtech Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lion Chemtech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lion Chemtech's current price.

Lion Chemtech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lion Chemtech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lion Chemtech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lion Chemtech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lion Chemtech Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lion Chemtech Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lion Chemtech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lion Chemtech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Lion Chemtech

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lion Chemtech position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lion Chemtech will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Lion Stock

  0.63006050 Kuk Young GMPairCorr

Moving against Lion Stock

  0.8043910 Nature and EnvironmentPairCorr
  0.76298050 Hyosung Advanced MatPairCorr
  0.74097950 CJ CheiljedangPairCorr
  0.73097955 CJ CheilJedang CorpPairCorr
  0.7147830 Cheryong Industrial CoLtdPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lion Chemtech could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lion Chemtech when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lion Chemtech - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lion Chemtech Co to buy it.
The correlation of Lion Chemtech is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lion Chemtech moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lion Chemtech moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lion Chemtech can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Lion Stock

Lion Chemtech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lion with respect to the benefits of owning Lion Chemtech security.