SPROUTS FARMERS Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

1FA Stock  EUR 135.00  1.00  0.74%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SPROUTS FARMERS MKT on the next trading day is expected to be 135.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 117.50. SPROUTS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
SPROUTS FARMERS simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for SPROUTS FARMERS MKT are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as SPROUTS FARMERS MKT prices get older.

SPROUTS FARMERS Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SPROUTS FARMERS MKT on the next trading day is expected to be 135.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.96, mean absolute percentage error of 9.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 117.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SPROUTS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SPROUTS FARMERS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SPROUTS FARMERS Stock Forecast Pattern

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SPROUTS FARMERS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SPROUTS FARMERS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SPROUTS FARMERS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 132.54 and 137.46, respectively. We have considered SPROUTS FARMERS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
135.00
132.54
Downside
135.00
Expected Value
137.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SPROUTS FARMERS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SPROUTS FARMERS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5033
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4833
MADMean absolute deviation1.9583
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.015
SAESum of the absolute errors117.5
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting SPROUTS FARMERS MKT forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent SPROUTS FARMERS observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for SPROUTS FARMERS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPROUTS FARMERS MKT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
132.54135.00137.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
128.01130.47148.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
122.59136.45150.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SPROUTS FARMERS

For every potential investor in SPROUTS, whether a beginner or expert, SPROUTS FARMERS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SPROUTS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SPROUTS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SPROUTS FARMERS's price trends.

SPROUTS FARMERS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SPROUTS FARMERS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SPROUTS FARMERS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SPROUTS FARMERS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SPROUTS FARMERS MKT Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SPROUTS FARMERS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SPROUTS FARMERS's current price.

SPROUTS FARMERS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SPROUTS FARMERS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SPROUTS FARMERS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SPROUTS FARMERS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SPROUTS FARMERS MKT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SPROUTS FARMERS Risk Indicators

The analysis of SPROUTS FARMERS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SPROUTS FARMERS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprouts stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for SPROUTS Stock Analysis

When running SPROUTS FARMERS's price analysis, check to measure SPROUTS FARMERS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPROUTS FARMERS is operating at the current time. Most of SPROUTS FARMERS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPROUTS FARMERS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPROUTS FARMERS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPROUTS FARMERS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.