Haverty Furniture Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

25F Stock  EUR 21.00  0.40  1.94%   
Haverty Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Haverty Furniture's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The value of RSI of Haverty Furniture's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Haverty Furniture, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Haverty Furniture's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Haverty Furniture and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Haverty Furniture's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Haverty Furniture Companies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Haverty Furniture's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Wall Street Target Price
64
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Using Haverty Furniture hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Haverty Furniture Companies from the perspective of Haverty Furniture response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Haverty Furniture Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 20.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.96.

Haverty Furniture after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 21.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haverty Furniture to cross-verify your projections.

Haverty Furniture Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Haverty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Haverty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Haverty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Haverty Furniture simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Haverty Furniture Companies are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Haverty Furniture prices get older.

Haverty Furniture Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Haverty Furniture Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 20.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Haverty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Haverty Furniture's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Haverty Furniture Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Haverty Furniture  Haverty Furniture Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Haverty Furniture Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Haverty Furniture's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Haverty Furniture's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.74 and 23.24, respectively. We have considered Haverty Furniture's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.00
20.99
Expected Value
23.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Haverty Furniture stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Haverty Furniture stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8958
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0577
MADMean absolute deviation0.3827
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors22.9614
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Haverty Furniture Companies forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Haverty Furniture observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Haverty Furniture

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haverty Furniture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9021.1523.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2217.4723.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.4021.3223.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.111.221.34
Details

Haverty Furniture After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Haverty Furniture at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Haverty Furniture or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Haverty Furniture, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Haverty Furniture Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Haverty Furniture's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Haverty Furniture's historical news coverage. Haverty Furniture's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.90 and 23.40, respectively. We have considered Haverty Furniture's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.00
21.15
After-hype Price
23.40
Upside
Haverty Furniture is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Haverty Furniture is based on 3 months time horizon.

Haverty Furniture Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Haverty Furniture is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Haverty Furniture backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Haverty Furniture, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.25
  0.15 
  0.10 
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.00
21.15
0.71 
304.05  
Notes

Haverty Furniture Hype Timeline

Haverty Furniture is presently traded for 21.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Haverty is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.71%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Haverty Furniture is about 448.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.90. The company reported the revenue of 722.9 M. Net Income was 19.96 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 452.61 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haverty Furniture to cross-verify your projections.

Haverty Furniture Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Haverty Furniture's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Haverty Furniture's future price movements. Getting to know how Haverty Furniture's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Haverty Furniture may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARWARROW ELECTRONICS 0.00 7 per month 1.72  0.07  2.80 (3.16) 7.70 
NWLNewell Rubbermaid 0.10 8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.35 (3.28) 32.12 
55G0GOLDGROUP MINING INC 0.02 7 per month 4.76  0.1  8.60 (8.45) 24.75 
YRBThe Yokohama Rubber(0.99)3 per month 1.28  0.03  3.58 (2.81) 8.77 
OIAAOI Electronics Co 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LPKLPKF Laser Electronics(0.14)1 per month 2.14  0.04  6.29 (3.86) 13.34 
Y7KSunwoda Electronic CoLtd 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
E5MEAGLE MATERIALS(3.00)7 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.71 (2.26) 9.43 

Other Forecasting Options for Haverty Furniture

For every potential investor in Haverty, whether a beginner or expert, Haverty Furniture's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Haverty Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Haverty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Haverty Furniture's price trends.

Haverty Furniture Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Haverty Furniture stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Haverty Furniture could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Haverty Furniture by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Haverty Furniture Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Haverty Furniture stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Haverty Furniture shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Haverty Furniture stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Haverty Furniture Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Haverty Furniture Risk Indicators

The analysis of Haverty Furniture's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Haverty Furniture's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting haverty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Haverty Furniture

The number of cover stories for Haverty Furniture depends on current market conditions and Haverty Furniture's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Haverty Furniture is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Haverty Furniture's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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When determining whether Haverty Furniture is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Haverty Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Haverty Furniture Companies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Haverty Furniture Companies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haverty Furniture to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Understanding that Haverty Furniture's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Haverty Furniture represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Haverty Furniture's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.