Daebo Magnetic Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

290670 Stock  KRW 13,410  200.00  1.51%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Daebo Magnetic CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 13,420 with a mean absolute deviation of 376.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22,560. Daebo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Daebo Magnetic stock prices and determine the direction of Daebo Magnetic CoLtd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Daebo Magnetic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Daebo Magnetic - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Daebo Magnetic prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Daebo Magnetic price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Daebo Magnetic CoLtd.

Daebo Magnetic Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Daebo Magnetic CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 13,420 with a mean absolute deviation of 376.00, mean absolute percentage error of 273,140, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22,560.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Daebo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Daebo Magnetic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Daebo Magnetic Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Daebo MagneticDaebo Magnetic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Daebo Magnetic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Daebo Magnetic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Daebo Magnetic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13,417 and 13,423, respectively. We have considered Daebo Magnetic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13,410
13,417
Downside
13,420
Expected Value
13,423
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Daebo Magnetic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Daebo Magnetic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 81.3333
MADMean absolute deviation376.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0235
SAESum of the absolute errors22560.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Daebo Magnetic observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Daebo Magnetic CoLtd observations.

Predictive Modules for Daebo Magnetic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daebo Magnetic CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13,40713,41013,413
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,18312,18614,751
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Daebo Magnetic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Daebo Magnetic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Daebo Magnetic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Daebo Magnetic CoLtd.

Other Forecasting Options for Daebo Magnetic

For every potential investor in Daebo, whether a beginner or expert, Daebo Magnetic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Daebo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Daebo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Daebo Magnetic's price trends.

Daebo Magnetic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Daebo Magnetic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Daebo Magnetic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Daebo Magnetic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Daebo Magnetic CoLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Daebo Magnetic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Daebo Magnetic's current price.

Daebo Magnetic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Daebo Magnetic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Daebo Magnetic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Daebo Magnetic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Daebo Magnetic CoLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Daebo Magnetic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Daebo Magnetic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Daebo Magnetic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting daebo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Daebo Magnetic

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Daebo Magnetic position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Daebo Magnetic will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Daebo Stock

  0.87054210 ElentecPairCorr
  0.72126700 HyVision SystemPairCorr

Moving against Daebo Stock

  0.65032830 Samsung LifePairCorr
  0.53105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
  0.4316140 Woori Financial GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Daebo Magnetic could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Daebo Magnetic when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Daebo Magnetic - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Daebo Magnetic CoLtd to buy it.
The correlation of Daebo Magnetic is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Daebo Magnetic moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Daebo Magnetic CoLtd moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Daebo Magnetic can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Daebo Stock

Daebo Magnetic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daebo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daebo with respect to the benefits of owning Daebo Magnetic security.