Eslite Spectrum Stock Forward View

2926 Stock  TWD 38.55  0.15  0.39%   
Eslite Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Eslite Spectrum's share price is approaching 42. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eslite Spectrum, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eslite Spectrum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eslite Spectrum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eslite Spectrum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eslite Spectrum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Eslite Spectrum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eslite Spectrum from the perspective of Eslite Spectrum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Eslite Spectrum on the next trading day is expected to be 37.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.06.

Eslite Spectrum after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 38.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eslite Spectrum to cross-verify your projections.

Eslite Spectrum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eslite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eslite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eslite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Eslite Spectrum is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Eslite Spectrum value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Eslite Spectrum Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Eslite Spectrum on the next trading day is expected to be 37.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eslite Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eslite Spectrum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eslite Spectrum Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eslite Spectrum  Eslite Spectrum Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Eslite Spectrum Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eslite Spectrum's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eslite Spectrum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.31 and 38.44, respectively. We have considered Eslite Spectrum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.55
37.38
Expected Value
38.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eslite Spectrum stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eslite Spectrum stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4822
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3452
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0087
SAESum of the absolute errors21.0564
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Eslite Spectrum. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Eslite Spectrum. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Eslite Spectrum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eslite Spectrum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4838.5539.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.0039.0740.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.9238.9239.92
Details

Eslite Spectrum After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eslite Spectrum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eslite Spectrum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eslite Spectrum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eslite Spectrum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eslite Spectrum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eslite Spectrum's historical news coverage. Eslite Spectrum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.48 and 39.62, respectively. We have considered Eslite Spectrum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.55
38.55
After-hype Price
39.62
Upside
Eslite Spectrum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eslite Spectrum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eslite Spectrum Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eslite Spectrum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eslite Spectrum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eslite Spectrum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.07
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.55
38.55
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Eslite Spectrum Hype Timeline

Eslite Spectrum is presently traded for 38.55on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eslite is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eslite Spectrum is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.55. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Eslite Spectrum was presently reported as 14.24. The company recorded a loss per share of 5.69. Eslite Spectrum last dividend was issued on the 18th of June 2021. The entity had 1050:1000 split on the 26th of July 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eslite Spectrum to cross-verify your projections.

Eslite Spectrum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eslite Spectrum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eslite Spectrum's future price movements. Getting to know how Eslite Spectrum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eslite Spectrum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
7731MARX Biotech Co 0.00 0 per month 3.99  0.10  7.52 (7.21) 87.86 
2942Jing Jan Retail Business 0.00 0 per month 1.96 (0.01) 2.99 (3.17) 8.06 
2901Shin Shin Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 1.63 (1.61) 4.22 
1599Aeon Motor Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.63 (2.07) 13.35 
1470Evertex Fabrinology 0.00 0 per month 0.97  0  2.01 (2.43) 8.21 
1416Kwong Fong Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.59  0.03  1.36 (1.27) 5.13 
1259An Shin Food Services 0.00 0 per month 0.91  0.00  2.58 (1.75) 8.08 
1521Ta Yih Industrial 0.00 0 per month 1.03  0.03  2.15 (1.88) 13.61 
2758Louisa Professional Coffee 0.00 0 per month 1.33 (0.03) 2.46 (2.39) 5.32 
4420Kwang Ming Silk 0.00 0 per month 0.48 (0.08) 0.79 (0.98) 2.37 

Other Forecasting Options for Eslite Spectrum

For every potential investor in Eslite, whether a beginner or expert, Eslite Spectrum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eslite Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eslite. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eslite Spectrum's price trends.

Eslite Spectrum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eslite Spectrum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eslite Spectrum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eslite Spectrum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eslite Spectrum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eslite Spectrum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eslite Spectrum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eslite Spectrum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eslite Spectrum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eslite Spectrum Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eslite Spectrum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eslite Spectrum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eslite stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Eslite Spectrum

The number of cover stories for Eslite Spectrum depends on current market conditions and Eslite Spectrum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eslite Spectrum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eslite Spectrum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Eslite Stock Analysis

When running Eslite Spectrum's price analysis, check to measure Eslite Spectrum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eslite Spectrum is operating at the current time. Most of Eslite Spectrum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eslite Spectrum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eslite Spectrum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eslite Spectrum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.