Eslite Spectrum (Taiwan) Price Prediction

2926 Stock  TWD 38.70  0.05  0.13%   
As of today, The value of RSI of Eslite Spectrum's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eslite Spectrum, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eslite Spectrum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eslite Spectrum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eslite Spectrum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eslite Spectrum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Eslite Spectrum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eslite Spectrum from the perspective of Eslite Spectrum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eslite Spectrum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eslite because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Eslite Spectrum after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 38.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Eslite Spectrum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.2839.3840.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.1838.2639.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.0239.0840.15
Details

Eslite Spectrum After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eslite Spectrum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eslite Spectrum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eslite Spectrum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eslite Spectrum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eslite Spectrum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eslite Spectrum's historical news coverage. Eslite Spectrum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.61 and 39.79, respectively. We have considered Eslite Spectrum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.70
38.70
After-hype Price
39.79
Upside
Eslite Spectrum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eslite Spectrum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eslite Spectrum Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eslite Spectrum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eslite Spectrum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eslite Spectrum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.09
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.70
38.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Eslite Spectrum Hype Timeline

Eslite Spectrum is presently traded for 38.70on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eslite is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eslite Spectrum is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.70. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Eslite Spectrum was presently reported as 14.24. The company recorded a loss per share of 5.69. Eslite Spectrum last dividend was issued on the 18th of June 2021. The entity had 1050:1000 split on the 26th of July 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Eslite Spectrum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eslite Spectrum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eslite Spectrum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eslite Spectrum's future price movements. Getting to know how Eslite Spectrum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eslite Spectrum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
7731MARX Biotech Co 0.00 0 per month 3.65  0.11  7.52 (4.47) 43.29 
2942Jing Jan Retail Business 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.99 (3.17) 8.06 
2901Shin Shin Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.63 (1.60) 3.84 
1599Aeon Motor Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.63 (2.07) 13.35 
1470Evertex Fabrinology 0.00 0 per month 0.97 (0.03) 2.01 (2.43) 8.21 
1416Kwong Fong Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.57 (0.02) 1.36 (1.27) 5.13 
1259An Shin Food Services 0.00 0 per month 0.95 (0.04) 2.58 (1.81) 8.08 
1521Ta Yih Industrial 0.00 0 per month 0.88  0.06  2.15 (1.88) 13.61 
2758Louisa Professional Coffee 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.46 (2.39) 5.32 
4420Kwang Ming Silk 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.79 (0.98) 2.37 

Eslite Spectrum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eslite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eslite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eslite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Eslite Spectrum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Eslite Spectrum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eslite Spectrum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eslite Spectrum based on analysis of Eslite Spectrum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eslite Spectrum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eslite Spectrum's related companies.

Pair Trading with Eslite Spectrum

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Eslite Spectrum position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Eslite Spectrum will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Eslite Stock

  0.635903 Taiwan FamilyMartPairCorr

Moving against Eslite Stock

  0.76788 Brillian Network AutPairCorr
  0.671342 Cathay ConsolidatedPairCorr
  0.533551 Shih Her TechnologiesPairCorr
  0.317556 Yeedex ElectronicPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Eslite Spectrum could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Eslite Spectrum when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Eslite Spectrum - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Eslite Spectrum to buy it.
The correlation of Eslite Spectrum is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Eslite Spectrum moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Eslite Spectrum moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Eslite Spectrum can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Eslite Stock Analysis

When running Eslite Spectrum's price analysis, check to measure Eslite Spectrum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eslite Spectrum is operating at the current time. Most of Eslite Spectrum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eslite Spectrum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eslite Spectrum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eslite Spectrum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.