Chefs Warehouse Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| 2CF Stock | EUR 57.50 1.00 1.77% |
Chefs Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Chefs Warehouse's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the value of rsi of Chefs Warehouse's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Wall Street Target Price 38.8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.105 |
Using Chefs Warehouse hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Chefs Warehouse from the perspective of Chefs Warehouse response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Chefs Warehouse on the next trading day is expected to be 57.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.90. Chefs Warehouse after-hype prediction price | EUR 57.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chefs |
Chefs Warehouse Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chefs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chefs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chefs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chefs Warehouse Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Chefs Warehouse on the next trading day is expected to be 57.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chefs Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chefs Warehouse's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chefs Warehouse Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Chefs Warehouse | Chefs Warehouse Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Chefs Warehouse Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chefs Warehouse's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chefs Warehouse's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.83 and 59.57, respectively. We have considered Chefs Warehouse's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chefs Warehouse stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chefs Warehouse stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0661 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.761 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.9 |
Predictive Modules for Chefs Warehouse
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chefs Warehouse. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chefs Warehouse After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chefs Warehouse at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chefs Warehouse or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chefs Warehouse, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chefs Warehouse Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chefs Warehouse's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chefs Warehouse's historical news coverage. Chefs Warehouse's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.24 and 58.98, respectively. We have considered Chefs Warehouse's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chefs Warehouse is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chefs Warehouse is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chefs Warehouse Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chefs Warehouse is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chefs Warehouse backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chefs Warehouse, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.87 | 0.39 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
57.50 | 57.11 | 0.68 |
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Chefs Warehouse Hype Timeline
Chefs Warehouse is presently traded for 57.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Chefs is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 57.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 124.67%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.68%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Chefs Warehouse is about 1232.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.46. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The book value of Chefs Warehouse was presently reported as 13.15. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chefs Warehouse to cross-verify your projections.Chefs Warehouse Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chefs Warehouse's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chefs Warehouse's future price movements. Getting to know how Chefs Warehouse's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chefs Warehouse may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| T1A | Treasure ASA | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.71 | 0.06 | 1.41 | (2.08) | 13.61 | |
| BOZA | PT Bank Maybank | 0.00 | 1 per month | 3.85 | 0.04 | 5.26 | (5.00) | 18.90 | |
| MO7R | MOOG INC CL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.20 | 8.29 | (3.06) | 32.41 | |
| BIO | Biotest Aktiengesellschaft | (0.20) | 4 per month | 2.06 | (0.02) | 6.04 | (5.21) | 17.64 | |
| UN0 | Uniper SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.27 | 0.11 | 4.48 | (3.88) | 12.69 | |
| UN0 | Uniper SE | (0.75) | 4 per month | 2.30 | 0.1 | 5.88 | (3.96) | 13.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chefs Warehouse
For every potential investor in Chefs, whether a beginner or expert, Chefs Warehouse's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chefs Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chefs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chefs Warehouse's price trends.Chefs Warehouse Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chefs Warehouse stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chefs Warehouse could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chefs Warehouse by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chefs Warehouse Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chefs Warehouse stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chefs Warehouse shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chefs Warehouse stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Chefs Warehouse entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 57.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 57.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 |
Chefs Warehouse Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chefs Warehouse's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chefs Warehouse's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chefs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Chefs Warehouse
The number of cover stories for Chefs Warehouse depends on current market conditions and Chefs Warehouse's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chefs Warehouse is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chefs Warehouse's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chefs Warehouse to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.