Chefs Warehouse (Germany) Market Outlook
| 2CF Stock | EUR 57.50 1.00 1.77% |
Roughly 55% of Chefs Warehouse's stockholders are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of current outlook of investing in The Chefs Warehouse suggests that some traders are interested regarding Chefs Warehouse's prospects. The current market sentiment, together with Chefs Warehouse's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Chefs Warehouse stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 55
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Chefs Warehouse's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward The Chefs Warehouse.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding The Chefs Warehouse is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Chefs Warehouse buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 2CF positions.
Execute Chefs Warehouse Advice
The Chefs recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on The Chefs Warehouse. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in The Chefs Warehouse or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Chefs Warehouse's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
For the selected time horizon The Chefs Warehouse has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0593, Jensen Alpha of 0.1019, Total Risk Alpha of (0.03), Sortino Ratio of 0.0293 and Treynor Ratio of 0.458Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on The Chefs Warehouse. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Chefs Warehouse is not overpriced, please confirm all Chefs Warehouse fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .
Chefs Warehouse Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Chefs Warehouse is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Chefs Warehouse has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Middle East and Denver Expansion Could Be A Game Changer For Chefs Warehouse - simplywall.st |
Chefs Warehouse Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Chefs Warehouse's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Chefs Warehouse's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Chefs Warehouse daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use The Chefs Warehouse price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Chefs Warehouse returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Chefs Warehouse.
| Mean Return | 0.13 | Value At Risk | -2.83 | Potential Upside | 3.70 | Standard Deviation | 1.92 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Chefs Warehouse historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Chefs Warehouse Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (60.8M) | (49.9M) | (65.8M) | (32.2M) | (29.0M) | (30.4M) | |
| Investments | (49.0M) | (232.0M) | (294.1M) | (49.8M) | (44.8M) | (47.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | (78.1M) | 43.6M | (112.4M) | 64.8M | 58.3M | 61.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | (5.9M) | 278.6M | 24.5M | (10.1M) | (11.6M) | (11.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 28.9M | 32.5M | 51.4M | 64.9M | 74.7M | 78.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 38.8M | 45.8M | 49.3M | 49.5M | 56.9M | 31.2M | |
| Net Income | (4.9M) | 27.8M | 34.6M | 55.5M | 63.8M | 67.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 115.2M | 158.8M | 34.2M | 114.7M | 131.9M | 106.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 19.5M | 25.8M | 10.1M | 53.8M | 61.9M | 65.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (58.7M) | (22.7M) | (37.9M) | 103.6M | 119.1M | 125.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.4M | 11.5M | 9.2M | 2.2M | 2.5M | 4.8M |
Chefs Warehouse Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Chefs Warehouse or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Chefs Warehouse's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Chefs stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Chefs Warehouse Volatility Alert
The Chefs Warehouse has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.62 and kurtosis of 1.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Chefs Warehouse's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Chefs Warehouse's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Chefs Warehouse Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Chefs Warehouse's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Chefs Warehouse's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Chefs Warehouse and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Chefs Warehouse or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Chefs Warehouse's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chefs Warehouse by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Chefs Warehouse to competition |
| Fundamentals | Chefs Warehouse | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0493 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.07 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 40.69 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 11.23 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.87 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 43.00 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.51 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.56 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.79 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 231.26 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 55.48 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 17.32 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.58 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 18.04 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 133.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.15 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 153.06 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.42 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 38.8 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.03 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.28 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.34 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.86 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 141.94 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 442.65 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 1.86 B |
Chefs Warehouse Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Chefs . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 57.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 57.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 |
About Chefs Warehouse Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell The Chefs Warehouse? Buying financial instruments such as Chefs Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Chefs Warehouse in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Chefs Warehouse Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.