2G ENERGY Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

2GB Stock  EUR 21.30  0.25  1.16%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 2G ENERGY on the next trading day is expected to be 21.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.69. 2GB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
2G ENERGY simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for 2G ENERGY are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as 2G ENERGY prices get older.

2G ENERGY Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 2G ENERGY on the next trading day is expected to be 21.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 2GB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 2G ENERGY's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

2G ENERGY Stock Forecast Pattern

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2G ENERGY Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 2G ENERGY's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 2G ENERGY's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.78 and 23.84, respectively. We have considered 2G ENERGY's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.30
21.31
Expected Value
23.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 2G ENERGY stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 2G ENERGY stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9932
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0207
MADMean absolute deviation0.3782
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0178
SAESum of the absolute errors22.6943
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting 2G ENERGY forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent 2G ENERGY observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for 2G ENERGY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 2G ENERGY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7721.3023.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3517.8823.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.0821.4722.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for 2G ENERGY

For every potential investor in 2GB, whether a beginner or expert, 2G ENERGY's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 2GB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 2GB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 2G ENERGY's price trends.

2G ENERGY Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 2G ENERGY stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 2G ENERGY could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 2G ENERGY by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

2G ENERGY Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 2G ENERGY's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 2G ENERGY's current price.

2G ENERGY Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 2G ENERGY stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 2G ENERGY shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 2G ENERGY stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 2G ENERGY entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

2G ENERGY Risk Indicators

The analysis of 2G ENERGY's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 2G ENERGY's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 2gb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for 2GB Stock Analysis

When running 2G ENERGY's price analysis, check to measure 2G ENERGY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 2G ENERGY is operating at the current time. Most of 2G ENERGY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 2G ENERGY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 2G ENERGY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 2G ENERGY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.