HAPPINESS DEV Stock Forward View

2UO Stock   1.80  0.00  0.00%   
HAPPINESS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of HAPPINESS DEV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of HAPPINESS DEV's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of HAPPINESS DEV's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of HAPPINESS DEV and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from HAPPINESS DEV's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HAPPINESS DEV GRP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting HAPPINESS DEV's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
180.334
Using HAPPINESS DEV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HAPPINESS DEV GRP from the perspective of HAPPINESS DEV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of HAPPINESS DEV GRP on the next trading day is expected to be 4.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 365.94.

HAPPINESS DEV after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 1.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HAPPINESS DEV to cross-verify your projections.

HAPPINESS DEV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HAPPINESS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HAPPINESS using various technical indicators. When you analyze HAPPINESS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for HAPPINESS DEV is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of HAPPINESS DEV GRP value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

HAPPINESS DEV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of HAPPINESS DEV GRP on the next trading day is expected to be 4.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.00, mean absolute percentage error of 127.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 365.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HAPPINESS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HAPPINESS DEV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HAPPINESS DEV Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest HAPPINESS DEV  HAPPINESS DEV Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

HAPPINESS DEV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HAPPINESS DEV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HAPPINESS DEV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 22.78, respectively. We have considered HAPPINESS DEV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.80
4.49
Expected Value
22.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HAPPINESS DEV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HAPPINESS DEV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.9584
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.999
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.8878
SAESum of the absolute errors365.9407
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of HAPPINESS DEV GRP. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict HAPPINESS DEV. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for HAPPINESS DEV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HAPPINESS DEV GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.2219.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.7320.03
Details

HAPPINESS DEV After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of HAPPINESS DEV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HAPPINESS DEV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HAPPINESS DEV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

HAPPINESS DEV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting HAPPINESS DEV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HAPPINESS DEV's historical news coverage. HAPPINESS DEV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 19.52, respectively. We have considered HAPPINESS DEV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.80
1.22
After-hype Price
19.52
Upside
HAPPINESS DEV is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HAPPINESS DEV GRP is based on 3 months time horizon.

HAPPINESS DEV Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HAPPINESS DEV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HAPPINESS DEV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HAPPINESS DEV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.09 
18.30
  1.67 
  8.30 
6 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.80
1.22
32.36 
2,288  
Notes

HAPPINESS DEV Hype Timeline

HAPPINESS DEV GRP is presently traded for 1.80on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -8.3. HAPPINESS is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -32.36%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -2.09%. The volatility of related hype on HAPPINESS DEV is about 460.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -6.5. About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.32. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. HAPPINESS DEV GRP recorded a loss per share of 3.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of August 2020. The firm had 1:100 split on the 18th of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HAPPINESS DEV to cross-verify your projections.

HAPPINESS DEV Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to HAPPINESS DEV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HAPPINESS DEV's future price movements. Getting to know how HAPPINESS DEV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HAPPINESS DEV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for HAPPINESS DEV

For every potential investor in HAPPINESS, whether a beginner or expert, HAPPINESS DEV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HAPPINESS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HAPPINESS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HAPPINESS DEV's price trends.

HAPPINESS DEV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HAPPINESS DEV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HAPPINESS DEV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HAPPINESS DEV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HAPPINESS DEV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HAPPINESS DEV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HAPPINESS DEV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HAPPINESS DEV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HAPPINESS DEV GRP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HAPPINESS DEV Risk Indicators

The analysis of HAPPINESS DEV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HAPPINESS DEV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting happiness stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for HAPPINESS DEV

The number of cover stories for HAPPINESS DEV depends on current market conditions and HAPPINESS DEV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HAPPINESS DEV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HAPPINESS DEV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in HAPPINESS Stock

HAPPINESS DEV financial ratios help investors to determine whether HAPPINESS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HAPPINESS with respect to the benefits of owning HAPPINESS DEV security.