Xian Sunresin Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

300487 Stock   50.76  0.40  0.78%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Xian Sunresin New on the next trading day is expected to be 50.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.56. Xian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Xian Sunresin stock prices and determine the direction of Xian Sunresin New's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Xian Sunresin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Xian Sunresin polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Xian Sunresin New as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Xian Sunresin Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Xian Sunresin New on the next trading day is expected to be 50.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.60, mean absolute percentage error of 11.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xian Sunresin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Xian Sunresin Stock Forecast Pattern

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Xian Sunresin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Xian Sunresin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xian Sunresin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.92 and 55.05, respectively. We have considered Xian Sunresin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.76
50.98
Expected Value
55.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xian Sunresin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xian Sunresin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.5617
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.5993
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0527
SAESum of the absolute errors158.5593
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Xian Sunresin historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Xian Sunresin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xian Sunresin New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.6950.7654.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3442.4155.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
47.2851.9256.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xian Sunresin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xian Sunresin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xian Sunresin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xian Sunresin New.

Other Forecasting Options for Xian Sunresin

For every potential investor in Xian, whether a beginner or expert, Xian Sunresin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xian Sunresin's price trends.

Xian Sunresin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xian Sunresin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xian Sunresin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xian Sunresin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Xian Sunresin New Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Xian Sunresin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Xian Sunresin's current price.

Xian Sunresin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xian Sunresin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xian Sunresin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xian Sunresin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xian Sunresin New entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Xian Sunresin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Xian Sunresin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xian Sunresin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Xian Stock

Xian Sunresin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xian with respect to the benefits of owning Xian Sunresin security.