Tianjin Ruixin Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

300828 Stock   14.35  0.15  1.06%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tianjin Ruixin Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 14.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.05. Tianjin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tianjin Ruixin stock prices and determine the direction of Tianjin Ruixin Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tianjin Ruixin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Tianjin Ruixin's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 15.3 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 515.4 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Tianjin Ruixin Technology is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Tianjin Ruixin 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tianjin Ruixin Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 14.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tianjin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tianjin Ruixin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tianjin Ruixin Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tianjin Ruixin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tianjin Ruixin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tianjin Ruixin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.48 and 18.06, respectively. We have considered Tianjin Ruixin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.35
14.27
Expected Value
18.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tianjin Ruixin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tianjin Ruixin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.8883
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1011
MADMean absolute deviation0.422
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0317
SAESum of the absolute errors24.055
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Tianjin Ruixin. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Tianjin Ruixin Technology and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Tianjin Ruixin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tianjin Ruixin Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7214.5118.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.7411.5315.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tianjin Ruixin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tianjin Ruixin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tianjin Ruixin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tianjin Ruixin Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for Tianjin Ruixin

For every potential investor in Tianjin, whether a beginner or expert, Tianjin Ruixin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tianjin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tianjin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tianjin Ruixin's price trends.

Tianjin Ruixin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tianjin Ruixin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tianjin Ruixin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tianjin Ruixin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tianjin Ruixin Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tianjin Ruixin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tianjin Ruixin's current price.

Tianjin Ruixin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tianjin Ruixin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tianjin Ruixin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tianjin Ruixin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tianjin Ruixin Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tianjin Ruixin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tianjin Ruixin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tianjin Ruixin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tianjin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Tianjin Stock

Tianjin Ruixin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tianjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tianjin with respect to the benefits of owning Tianjin Ruixin security.