Ningbo Kbe Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

300863 Stock   57.59  2.66  4.41%   
Ningbo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ningbo Kbe stock prices and determine the direction of Ningbo Kbe Electrical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ningbo Kbe's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Ningbo Kbe's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ningbo Kbe, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ningbo Kbe's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ningbo Kbe Electrical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ningbo Kbe's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.039
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.25
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.43
Wall Street Target Price
52.75
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.114
Using Ningbo Kbe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ningbo Kbe Electrical from the perspective of Ningbo Kbe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ningbo Kbe Electrical on the next trading day is expected to be 57.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.98.

Ningbo Kbe after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 57.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ningbo Kbe to cross-verify your projections.

Ningbo Kbe Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ningbo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ningbo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ningbo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Ningbo Kbe is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Ningbo Kbe Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ningbo Kbe Electrical on the next trading day is expected to be 57.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08, mean absolute percentage error of 2.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ningbo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ningbo Kbe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ningbo Kbe Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ningbo Kbe  Ningbo Kbe Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Ningbo Kbe Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ningbo Kbe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ningbo Kbe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.48 and 60.70, respectively. We have considered Ningbo Kbe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
57.59
57.59
Expected Value
60.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ningbo Kbe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ningbo Kbe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.242
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1713
MADMean absolute deviation1.083
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors64.98
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Ningbo Kbe Electrical price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Ningbo Kbe. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Ningbo Kbe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ningbo Kbe Electrical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.4857.5960.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.4052.5163.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.5553.3961.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.310.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ningbo Kbe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ningbo Kbe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ningbo Kbe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ningbo Kbe Electrical.

Ningbo Kbe After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ningbo Kbe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ningbo Kbe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ningbo Kbe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ningbo Kbe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ningbo Kbe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ningbo Kbe's historical news coverage. Ningbo Kbe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.48 and 60.70, respectively. We have considered Ningbo Kbe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
57.59
57.59
After-hype Price
60.70
Upside
Ningbo Kbe is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ningbo Kbe Electrical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ningbo Kbe Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ningbo Kbe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ningbo Kbe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ningbo Kbe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
3.11
 0.00  
  0.10 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
57.59
57.59
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ningbo Kbe Hype Timeline

Ningbo Kbe Electrical is presently traded for 57.59on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.1. Ningbo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ningbo Kbe is about 736.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.69. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of May 2025. Ningbo Kbe Electrical had 1.4:1 split on the 22nd of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ningbo Kbe to cross-verify your projections.

Ningbo Kbe Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ningbo Kbe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ningbo Kbe's future price movements. Getting to know how Ningbo Kbe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ningbo Kbe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
300857Sharetronic Data Technology 0.76 2 per month 2.92  0.11  7.51 (5.05) 18.42 
002625Kuang Chi Technologies(0.06)4 per month 2.07  0.01  3.90 (3.03) 15.86 
002950Allmed Medical Products 0.33 1 per month 1.89  0.10  7.32 (4.20) 15.52 
300921NOVA Technology 0.31 4 per month 1.64  0.09  3.82 (2.68) 13.08 
300562Guangdong Transtek Medical(0.39)2 per month 1.74 (0) 3.88 (3.32) 11.25 
002219Hengkang Medical Group(0.43)6 per month 2.51  0.01  3.18 (3.12) 20.13 
601007Jinling Hotel Corp 3.00 7 per month 1.60  0.04  2.57 (2.77) 7.83 
300098Gosuncn Technology Group(0.14)1 per month 2.27  0.07  5.05 (4.15) 12.82 

Other Forecasting Options for Ningbo Kbe

For every potential investor in Ningbo, whether a beginner or expert, Ningbo Kbe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ningbo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ningbo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ningbo Kbe's price trends.

Ningbo Kbe Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ningbo Kbe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ningbo Kbe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ningbo Kbe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ningbo Kbe Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ningbo Kbe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ningbo Kbe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ningbo Kbe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ningbo Kbe Electrical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ningbo Kbe Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ningbo Kbe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ningbo Kbe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ningbo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Ningbo Kbe

The number of cover stories for Ningbo Kbe depends on current market conditions and Ningbo Kbe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ningbo Kbe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ningbo Kbe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Ningbo Kbe Short Properties

Ningbo Kbe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ningbo Kbe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ningbo Kbe Electrical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ningbo Kbe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ningbo Kbe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments492 M

Other Information on Investing in Ningbo Stock

Ningbo Kbe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ningbo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ningbo with respect to the benefits of owning Ningbo Kbe security.