Ningbo Jianan Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

300880 Stock   24.12  0.38  1.55%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ningbo Jianan Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 22.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.00. Ningbo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ningbo Jianan stock prices and determine the direction of Ningbo Jianan Electronics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ningbo Jianan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Ningbo Jianan's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Liabilities is expected to grow to about 7.6 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 867.6 M.
Ningbo Jianan polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Ningbo Jianan Electronics as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Ningbo Jianan Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ningbo Jianan Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 22.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ningbo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ningbo Jianan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ningbo Jianan Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ningbo Jianan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ningbo Jianan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ningbo Jianan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.51 and 27.22, respectively. We have considered Ningbo Jianan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.12
22.87
Expected Value
27.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ningbo Jianan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ningbo Jianan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3457
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9194
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0441
SAESum of the absolute errors57.0031
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Ningbo Jianan historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Ningbo Jianan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ningbo Jianan Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0724.4328.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9019.2626.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ningbo Jianan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ningbo Jianan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ningbo Jianan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ningbo Jianan Electronics.

Other Forecasting Options for Ningbo Jianan

For every potential investor in Ningbo, whether a beginner or expert, Ningbo Jianan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ningbo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ningbo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ningbo Jianan's price trends.

Ningbo Jianan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ningbo Jianan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ningbo Jianan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ningbo Jianan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ningbo Jianan Electronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ningbo Jianan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ningbo Jianan's current price.

Ningbo Jianan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ningbo Jianan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ningbo Jianan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ningbo Jianan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ningbo Jianan Electronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ningbo Jianan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ningbo Jianan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ningbo Jianan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ningbo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Ningbo Stock

Ningbo Jianan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ningbo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ningbo with respect to the benefits of owning Ningbo Jianan security.